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| Price | ▼ 0.51% | ▲ 0.32% | ▼ 0.31% | ▼ 1.34% |
| Energy | ▼ 42.6 | ▼ 2.5 | ▼ 8.5 | ▼ 97.3 |
Trend of Bear Critical BTCUSD 4H
▸When BTCUSD is in Bear Critical:
- then BTCUSD moved to higher Market State: 660 times — 74.5%
- then BTCUSD moved to lower Market State: 226 times — 25.5%
▸Current BTCUSD market energy: -74.37%
- Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 14.37%
- Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 0.13%
"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING
Once measurement on the 4H timeframe completes, Result for BTCUSD: the Bear Critical state.
The energy side shows Energy delta -97.3%: Market Energy at -74.4%, previously 23%.
Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle
Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.
Over the past 5 days, BTCUSD Market Energy ranged from -89 to +76.5.
Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.
What did BTCUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?
When the 4H candle at 07:00 on 28-09-2026 closed, BTCUSD was at 83,338.6, down 1.34% from the previous candle (84,472). Market Energy was -74.4%, down 97.3 points from 23%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.
How much did BTCUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?
BTCUSD closed at 83,338.6, down 1.34% from the previous 4H candle (84,472). This drop is larger than 83% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for BTCUSD, across 17,075 candles since 2019.
How did BTCUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?
Market Energy fell 97.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from 23% to -74.4%. This drop is larger than 98% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for BTCUSD.
Do BTCUSD price and energy agree?
Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.
What state was BTCUSD in on the previous 4H candle?
The previous 4H candle had BTCUSD at 23%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, BTCUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Bear Critical.
Where does BTCUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?
At -74.4%, BTCUSD is 14.37 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 0.13 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.
What does Bear Critical mean?
Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.
See the full Bear Critical definition →How are the broader market indices trending?
Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -46.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -36.3%. Against this backdrop, BTCUSD (Bear Critical, -74.4%) lower than SPX500, GER40.
How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?
Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 47.9%. BTCUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.
See the real-time energy chart for BTCUSD.
Open Energy ChartSee the full 2AiTrading Model data for BTCUSD on the BTCUSD overview →
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