Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
BTCUSD from 84,791 to 84,898, up 0.13%
Market Energy Bull Critical 70.2% to Bull Extreme 76.5%, up 6.3 pts
Up candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.50%▼ 0.04%▲ 0.46%▲ 0.13%
Energy▲ 36.6▲ 12.7▲ 30.3▲ 6.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.50%▼ 0.04%▲ 0.46%▲ 0.13%▲ 36.6▲ 12.7▲ 30.3▲ 6.3
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.13% — higher than 16% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 6.3 pts — higher than 39% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme BTCUSD 4H

Sample: 21,446 4H candles from 2017-01-01 to 2026-09-26
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 799 times

▸When BTCUSD is in Bull Extreme:

  • then BTCUSD moved to higher Market State: 0 times — 0%
  • then BTCUSD moved to lower Market State: 799 times — 100%

▸Current BTCUSD market energy: 76.55%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 23.45%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 2.05%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

BTCUSD · H4 · 2026-09-27 08:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
70.2%
Bull Critical
76.5%
Bull Extreme
Expected at
23:10
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

The Bull Extreme state recorded from just-completed 4H candle data for BTCUSD.

Market movement just recorded on the 4H timeframe, Market Energy rose +6.3% from the previous candle, from 70.2% to 76.5%.

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, BTCUSD Market Energy ranged from -89 to +78.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did BTCUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 15:00 on 27-09-2026 closed, BTCUSD was at 84,898, up 0.13% from the previous candle (84,791). Market Energy was 76.5%, up 6.3 points from 70.2%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did BTCUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

BTCUSD closed at 84,898, up 0.13% from the previous 4H candle (84,791). This rise is larger than 16% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for BTCUSD, across 17,071 candles since 2019.

How did BTCUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 6.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from 70.2% to 76.5%. This rise is larger than 39% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for BTCUSD.

Do BTCUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was BTCUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had BTCUSD at 70.2%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, BTCUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bull Critical → Bull Extreme.

Where does BTCUSD energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 76.5%, BTCUSD is 23.45 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 2.05 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 65.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 61.1%. Against this backdrop, BTCUSD (Bull Extreme, 76.5%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -0.3%. BTCUSD energy is currently above DXY by 76.8 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for BTCUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for BTCUSD on the BTCUSD overview →

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