Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
BTCUSD from 85,927.71 to 86,490.11, up 0.65%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 99.8% to Bull Extreme 99.8%, down 0.1 pts
Up candle #4 in a rowEnergy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.36%3.88%1.23%0.65%
Energy11.647.33.20.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.36% 3.88% 1.23% 0.65% 11.6 47.3 3.2 0.1
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.65% — higher than 61% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 0.1 pts — higher than 1% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme BTCUSD 4H

Sample: 21,416 4H candles from 2017-01-01 to 2026-09-21
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 798 times

When BTCUSD is in Bull Extreme:

  • then BTCUSD moved to higher Market State: 0 times0%
  • then BTCUSD moved to lower Market State: 798 times100%

Current BTCUSD market energy: 99.76%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 0.24%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 25.26%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

BTCUSD · H4 · 2026-09-21 16:00 UTC
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Market Energy
99.8%
Bull Extreme
99.8%
Bull Extreme
Expected at
07:10
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

After the 4H candle closes, BTCUSD noted at the Extreme state of Bull.

On the 2AiTrading energy system, Market trend energy recorded a -0.1% drop from the previous candle, from 99.8% to 99.8%.

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 3 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, BTCUSD Market Energy ranged from -47.4 to +99.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did BTCUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 23:00 on 21-09-2026 closed, BTCUSD was at 86,490.11, up 0.65% from the previous candle (85,927.71). Market Energy was 99.8%, down 0.1 points from 99.8%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did BTCUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

BTCUSD closed at 86,490.11, up 0.65% from the previous 4H candle (85,927.71). This rise is larger than 61% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for BTCUSD, across 17,037 candles since 2019.

How did BTCUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 0.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from 99.8% to 99.8%. This drop is larger than 1% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for BTCUSD.

Do BTCUSD price and energy agree?

No. This candle recorded a price rise with energy moving the other way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was BTCUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had BTCUSD at 99.8%, Bull Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does BTCUSD energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 99.8%, BTCUSD is 0.24 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 25.26 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 99.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 47.7%. Against this backdrop, BTCUSD (Bull Extreme, 99.8%) has higher energy than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 75.2%. BTCUSD (Bull Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for BTCUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for BTCUSD on the BTCUSD overview →

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