Analysis

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Price and energy
BTCUSD from 78,982 to 78,189.21, down 1.00%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 87.9% to Bull Critical 60.6%, down 27.3 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.15%1.03%0.51%1.00%
Energy16.29.410.927.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.15% 1.03% 0.51% 1.00% 16.2 9.4 10.9 27.3
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.00% — higher than 75% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 27.3 pts — higher than 82% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical BTCUSD 4H

Sample: 21,374 4H candles from 2017-01-01 to 2026-09-14
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 1,061 times

When BTCUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then BTCUSD moved to higher Market State: 301 times28.4%
  • then BTCUSD moved to lower Market State: 760 times71.6%

Current BTCUSD market energy: 60.65%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 13.85%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 0.65%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

BTCUSD · H4 · 2026-09-14 20:00 UTC
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Market Energy
87.9%
Bull Extreme
60.6%
Bull Critical
Expected at
11:10
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

BTCUSD recorded in the Bull Critical level as the 4H candle ended.

On the 2AiTrading energy system, Compared to the previous candle (87.9%), Market Energy dropped -27.3% to 60.6%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, BTCUSD Market Energy ranged from -72.4 to +87.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did BTCUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 03:00 on 15-09-2026 closed, BTCUSD was at 78,189.21, down 1% from the previous candle (78,982). Market Energy was 60.6%, down 27.3 points from 87.9%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did BTCUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

BTCUSD closed at 78,189.21, down 1% from the previous 4H candle (78,982). This drop is larger than 75% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for BTCUSD, across 16,996 candles since 2019.

How did BTCUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 27.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from 87.9% to 60.6%. This drop is larger than 82% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for BTCUSD.

Do BTCUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was BTCUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had BTCUSD at 87.9%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, BTCUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Critical.

Where does BTCUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 60.6%, BTCUSD is 13.85 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 0.65 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 35.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 58.4%. Against this backdrop, BTCUSD (Bull Critical, 60.6%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -28.8%. BTCUSD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for BTCUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for BTCUSD on the BTCUSD overview →

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