Analysis

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Price and energy
BTCUSD from 77,865.36 to 78,182, up 0.41%
Market Energy Bear Critical -65.7% to Bear Bias -43.5%, up 22.2 pts
Up candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.15%0.05%0.36%0.41%
Energy2.52.59.022.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.15% 0.05% 0.36% 0.41% 2.5 2.5 9.0 22.2
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.41% — higher than 45% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 22.2 pts — higher than 78% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias BTCUSD 4H

Sample: 21,367 4H candles from 2017-01-01 to 2026-09-13
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,485 times

When BTCUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then BTCUSD moved to higher Market State: 941 times63.4%
  • then BTCUSD moved to lower Market State: 544 times36.6%

Current BTCUSD market energy: -43.54%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 22.66%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 16.46%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

BTCUSD · H4 · 2026-08-29 16:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-65.7%
Bear Critical
-43.5%
Bear Bias
-27.7%
Bear Bias
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Right as the 4H candle closes, BTCUSD noted at the Market Energy state leaning Bear.

Looking at the energy level, Market Energy reading rose +22.2%, moving from -65.7% to -43.5% after the 4H candle.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, BTCUSD Market Energy ranged from -89.7 to +70.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did BTCUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 23:00 on 29-08-2026 closed, BTCUSD was at 78,182, up 0.41% from the previous candle (77,865.36). Market Energy was -43.5%, up 22.2 points from -65.7%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did BTCUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

BTCUSD closed at 78,182, up 0.41% from the previous 4H candle (77,865.36). This rise is larger than 45% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for BTCUSD, across 16,899 candles since 2019.

How did BTCUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 22.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from -65.7% to -43.5%. This rise is larger than 78% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for BTCUSD.

Do BTCUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved up on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was BTCUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had BTCUSD at -65.7%, Bear Critical — when this candle closed, BTCUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bear Critical → Bear Bias.

Where does BTCUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -43.5%, BTCUSD is 22.66 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 16.46 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -43.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 55.4%. Against this backdrop, BTCUSD (Bear Bias, -43.5%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 90.3%. BTCUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for BTCUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for BTCUSD on the BTCUSD overview →

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