Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
BTCUSD from 64,528.44 to 64,718.5, up 0.29%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 76.9% to Bull Critical 73.7%, down 3.2 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.01%▼ 0.12%▼ 0.25%▲ 0.29%
Energy▼ 1.1▼ 4.7▼ 7.0▼ 3.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.01%▼ 0.12%▼ 0.25%▲ 0.29%▼ 1.1▼ 4.7▼ 7.0▼ 3.2
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.29% — higher than 34% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 3.2 pts — higher than 23% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical BTCUSD 4H

Sample: 21,519 4H candles from 2017-01-01 to 2026-10-08
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 1,067 times

▸When BTCUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then BTCUSD moved to higher Market State: 303 times — 28.4%
  • then BTCUSD moved to lower Market State: 764 times — 71.6%

▸Current BTCUSD market energy: 73.7%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 0.8%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 13.7%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

BTCUSD · H4 · 2026-07-15 05:00 UTC
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Market Energy
76.9%
Bull Extreme
73.7%
Bull Critical
73.3%
Bull Critical
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Once measurement on the 4H timeframe completes, BTCUSD classified as the Bull Critical level.

Market trend on the 2AiTrading energy system Compared to the previous candle (76.9%), Market Energy dropped -3.2% to 73.7%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, BTCUSD Market Energy ranged from -89.6 to +97.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did BTCUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 12:00 on 15-07-2026 closed, BTCUSD was at 64,718.5, up 0.29% from the previous candle (64,528.44). Market Energy was 73.7%, down 3.2 points from 76.9%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did BTCUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

BTCUSD closed at 64,718.5, up 0.29% from the previous 4H candle (64,528.44). This rise is larger than 34% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for BTCUSD, across 16,625 candles since 2019.

How did BTCUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 3.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from 76.9% to 73.7%. This drop is larger than 23% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for BTCUSD.

Do BTCUSD price and energy agree?

No. On this candle price rose but energy fell — the two moved in opposite directions. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was BTCUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had BTCUSD at 76.9%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, BTCUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Critical.

Where does BTCUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 73.7%, BTCUSD is 0.8 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 13.7 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 64.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 16.9%. Against this backdrop, BTCUSD (Bull Critical, 73.7%) has higher energy than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -25.8%. BTCUSD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for BTCUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for BTCUSD on the BTCUSD overview →

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