Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
BTCUSD from 86,490.11 to 87,001.68, up 0.59%
Market Energy Bull Critical 74.1% to Bull Extreme 77.7%, up 3.6 pts
Up candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.08%0.18%0.51%0.59%
Energy3.20.70.03.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.08% 0.18% 0.51% 0.59% 3.2 0.7 0.0 3.6
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.59% — higher than 80% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 3.6 pts — higher than 17% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme BTCUSD 1H

Sample: 94,758 1H candles from 2013-11-15 to 2026-09-21
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 3,374 times

When BTCUSD is in Bull Extreme:

  • then BTCUSD moved to higher Market State: 0 times0%
  • then BTCUSD moved to lower Market State: 3,374 times100%

Current BTCUSD market energy: 77.71%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 22.29%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 3.21%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

BTCUSD · H1 · 2026-09-21 20:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
74.1%
Bull Critical
77.7%
Bull Extreme
68.5%
Bull Critical
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

The system just recorded BTCUSD in the extreme Bull energy level after the 1H candle closed.

Looking at the Market Energy reading, Market trend energy recorded a +3.6% rise from the previous candle, from 74.1% to 77.7%.

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, BTCUSD Market Energy ranged from -95.1 to +99.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did BTCUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 03:00 on 22-09-2026 closed, BTCUSD was at 87,001.68, up 0.59% from the previous candle (86,490.11). Market Energy was 77.7%, up 3.6 points from 74.1%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did BTCUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

BTCUSD closed at 87,001.68, up 0.59% from the previous 1H candle (86,490.11). This rise is larger than 80% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for BTCUSD, across 67,690 candles since 2019.

How did BTCUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 3.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from 74.1% to 77.7%. This rise is larger than 17% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for BTCUSD.

Do BTCUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved up on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was BTCUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had BTCUSD at 74.1%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, BTCUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bull Critical → Bull Extreme.

Where does BTCUSD energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 77.7%, BTCUSD is 22.29 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 3.21 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 79.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 24.9%. Against this backdrop, BTCUSD (Bull Extreme, 77.7%) has higher energy than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 68.8%. BTCUSD (Bull Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for BTCUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for BTCUSD on the BTCUSD overview →

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