Analysis

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Price and energy
BTCUSD from 78,189.21 to 77,952.93, down 0.30%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -85.0% to Bear Extreme -98.2%, down 13.3 pts
Down candle #4 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.43%0.25%0.47%0.30%
Energy54.955.736.313.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.43% 0.25% 0.47% 0.30% 54.9 55.7 36.3 13.3
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.30% — higher than 59% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 13.3 pts — higher than 56% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme BTCUSD 1H

Sample: 94,582 1H candles from 2013-11-15 to 2026-09-14
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 2,700 times

When BTCUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then BTCUSD moved to higher Market State: 2,700 times100%
  • then BTCUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current BTCUSD market energy: -98.23%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 23.73%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 1.77%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

BTCUSD · H1 · 2026-09-15 00:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-85.0%
Bear Extreme
-98.2%
Bear Extreme
Expected at
09:10
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Reading from the 1H candle, BTCUSD recorded in Bear energy in an extreme reading.

Market energy movement The energy level dropped -13.3%: from -85% now at -98.2%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 2 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, BTCUSD Market Energy ranged from -98.2 to +96.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did BTCUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 07:00 on 15-09-2026 closed, BTCUSD was at 77,952.93, down 0.3% from the previous candle (78,189.21). Market Energy was -98.2%, down 13.3 points from -85%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did BTCUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

BTCUSD closed at 77,952.93, down 0.3% from the previous 1H candle (78,189.21). This drop is larger than 59% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for BTCUSD, across 67,526 candles since 2019.

How did BTCUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 13.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from -85% to -98.2%. This drop is larger than 56% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for BTCUSD.

Do BTCUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was BTCUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had BTCUSD at -85%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does BTCUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -98.2%, BTCUSD is 23.73 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 1.77 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 35.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 56%. Against this backdrop, BTCUSD (Bear Extreme, -98.2%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 2.8%. BTCUSD energy is currently below DXY by 101 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for BTCUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for BTCUSD on the BTCUSD overview →

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