Analysis

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Price and energy
BTCUSD from 64,898.5 to 64,677.5, down 0.34%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -75.9% to Bear Extreme -77.3%, down 1.5 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.45%0.03%0.10%0.34%
Energy20.16.611.21.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.45% 0.03% 0.10% 0.34% 20.1 6.6 11.2 1.5
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.34% — higher than 63% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 1.5 pts — higher than 7% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme BTCUSD 1H

Sample: 94,534 1H candles from 2013-11-15 to 2026-09-12
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 2,697 times

When BTCUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then BTCUSD moved to higher Market State: 2,697 times100%
  • then BTCUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current BTCUSD market energy: -77.35%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 2.85%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 22.65%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

BTCUSD · H1 · 2026-07-23 16:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-75.9%
Bear Extreme
-77.3%
Bear Extreme
-83.6%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

From the just-closed 1H candle data, Market Energy of BTCUSD indicates Bear Extreme.

Looking at the Market Energy reading, Market Energy dropped -1.5% this candle, currently -77.3% (previous candle -75.9%).

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 4 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, BTCUSD Market Energy ranged from -93.8 to +99.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did BTCUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 23:00 on 23-07-2026 closed, BTCUSD was at 64,677.5, down 0.34% from the previous candle (64,898.5). Market Energy was -77.3%, down 1.5 points from -75.9%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did BTCUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

BTCUSD closed at 64,677.5, down 0.34% from the previous 1H candle (64,898.5). This drop is larger than 63% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for BTCUSD, across 66,246 candles since 2019.

How did BTCUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 1.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from -75.9% to -77.3%. This drop is larger than 7% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for BTCUSD.

Do BTCUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was BTCUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had BTCUSD at -75.9%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does BTCUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -77.3%, BTCUSD is 2.85 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 22.65 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -73.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -66.7%. Against this backdrop, BTCUSD (Bear Extreme, -77.3%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 52.5%. BTCUSD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for BTCUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for BTCUSD on the BTCUSD overview →

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