Analysis

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Price and energy
BTCUSD from 64,639.5 to 64,423.5, down 0.33%
Market Energy Bull Bias 40.2% to Bull Bias 28.2%, down 12.0 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.66%0.25%0.24%0.33%
Energy50.334.66.712.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.66% 0.25% 0.24% 0.33% 50.3 34.6 6.7 12.0
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.33% — higher than 62% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 12.0 pts — higher than 52% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias BTCUSD 1H

Sample: 94,532 1H candles from 2013-11-15 to 2026-09-12
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 8,701 times

When BTCUSD is in Bull Bias:

  • then BTCUSD moved to higher Market State: 3,332 times38.3%
  • then BTCUSD moved to lower Market State: 5,369 times61.7%

Current BTCUSD market energy: 28.22%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 31.78%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 7.34%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

BTCUSD · H1 · 2026-07-16 16:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
40.2%
Bull Bias
28.2%
Bull Bias
-31.3%
Bear Bias
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Reading from the 1H candle, Result for BTCUSD: the energy zone leaning Bull.

On the 2AiTrading energy system, Market trend energy recorded a -12% drop from the previous candle, from 40.2% to 28.2%.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 3 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, BTCUSD Market Energy ranged from -98.7 to +97.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did BTCUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 23:00 on 16-07-2026 closed, BTCUSD was at 64,423.5, down 0.33% from the previous candle (64,639.5). Market Energy was 28.2%, down 12.0 points from 40.2%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did BTCUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

BTCUSD closed at 64,423.5, down 0.33% from the previous 1H candle (64,639.5). This drop is larger than 62% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for BTCUSD, across 66,078 candles since 2019.

How did BTCUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 12 percentage points from the previous candle — from 40.2% to 28.2%. This drop is larger than 52% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for BTCUSD.

Do BTCUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was BTCUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had BTCUSD at 40.2%, Bull Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does BTCUSD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 28.2%, BTCUSD is 31.78 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 7.34 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 32.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 49.3%. Against this backdrop, BTCUSD (Bull Bias, 28.2%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 80.7%. BTCUSD (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for BTCUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for BTCUSD on the BTCUSD overview →

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