Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
BTCUSD from 84,472 to 83,500.01, down 1.15%
Market Energy Bull Critical 71.8% to Bull Bias 48.4%, down 23.4 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.37%▲ 0.40%▲ 0.05%▼ 1.15%
Energy▼ 6.1▼ 0.2▼ 1.7▼ 23.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.37%▲ 0.40%▲ 0.05%▼ 1.15%▼ 6.1▼ 0.2▼ 1.7▼ 23.4
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.15% — higher than 48% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 23.4 pts — higher than 73% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias BTCUSD Daily

Sample: 5,722 Daily candles from 2011-01-20 to 2026-09-27
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 425 times

▸When BTCUSD is in Bull Bias:

  • then BTCUSD moved to higher Market State: 188 times — 44.2%
  • then BTCUSD moved to lower Market State: 237 times — 55.8%

▸Current BTCUSD market energy: 48.44%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 11.56%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 27.56%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

BTCUSD · D1 · 2026-09-28 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
71.8%
Bull Critical
48.4%
Bull Bias
Expected at
07:10
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

The Bull Bias energy state determined for BTCUSD through the Daily candle data.

Market trend update: A -23.4% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now 48.4% (previous: 71.8%).

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, BTCUSD Market Energy ranged from +48.4 to +87.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did BTCUSD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 28-09-2026 closed, BTCUSD was at 83,500.01, down 1.15% from the previous candle (84,472). Market Energy was 48.4%, down 23.4 points from 71.8%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did BTCUSD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

BTCUSD closed at 83,500.01, down 1.15% from the previous Daily candle (84,472). This drop is larger than 48% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for BTCUSD, across 135 candles since 2019.

How did BTCUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 23.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from 71.8% to 48.4%. This drop is larger than 73% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for BTCUSD.

Do BTCUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was BTCUSD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had BTCUSD at 71.8%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, BTCUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Critical → Bull Bias.

Where does BTCUSD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 48.4%, BTCUSD is 11.56 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 27.56 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -46.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -36.3%. Against this backdrop, BTCUSD (Bull Bias, 48.4%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 47.9%. BTCUSD (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for BTCUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for BTCUSD on the BTCUSD overview →

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