Analysis

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Price and energy
BCHUSD from 210.9 to 206, down 2.32%
Market Energy Neutral -18.6% to Bear Extreme -78.2%, down 59.6 pts
Down candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price1.28%0.93%0.61%2.32%
Energy4.95.620.959.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
1.28% 0.93% 0.61% 2.32% 4.9 5.6 20.9 59.6
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 2.32% — higher than 86% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 59.6 pts — higher than 95% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme BCHUSD 4H

Sample: 14,876 4H candles from 2019-11-28 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 421 times

When BCHUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then BCHUSD moved to higher Market State: 421 times100%
  • then BCHUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current BCHUSD market energy: -78.21%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 3.71%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 21.79%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

BCHUSD · H4 · 2026-07-29 16:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-18.6%
Neutral
-78.2%
Bear Extreme
-50.4%
Bear Bias
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

After the system processes the 4H candle, BCHUSD in the peak Bear energy zone - Bear Extreme.

Market trend on the 2AiTrading energy system Market Energy moved from -18.6% to -78.2%, down -59.6% from the previous candle.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, BCHUSD Market Energy ranged from -78.2 to +89.4.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did BCHUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 23:00 on 29-07-2026 closed, BCHUSD was at 206, down 2.32% from the previous candle (210.9). Market Energy was -78.2%, down 59.6 points from -18.6%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did BCHUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

BCHUSD closed at 206, down 2.32% from the previous 4H candle (210.9). This drop is larger than 86% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for BCHUSD, across 14,610 candles since 2019.

How did BCHUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 59.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from -18.6% to -78.2%. This drop is larger than 95% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for BCHUSD.

Do BCHUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was BCHUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had BCHUSD at -18.6%, Neutral — when this candle closed, BCHUSD moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Extreme.

Where does BCHUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -78.2%, BCHUSD is 3.71 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 21.79 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -83%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 6.4%. Against this backdrop, BCHUSD (Bear Extreme, -78.2%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 18.1%. BCHUSD energy is currently below DXY by 96.4 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for BCHUSD.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for BCHUSD on the BCHUSD overview →

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