Analysis

AVAXUSD 9.716 ↓0.46%: Bulls & Bears in a tug-of-war · 4H 19:00 Oct 21, 2026

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Candle close
Price and energy
Open 9.761 · High 9.765 · Low 9.62 · Close 9.716 · Range (high − low) 0.145
AVAXUSD closed at 9.716, down 0.045 (-0.46%) from 9.761.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Neutral zone at 15.1% to Neutral at 16.4%, up 1.4 points.
Energy diverges from price.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price9.7559.7029.7619.716
Energy16.2%11.0%15.1%16.4%
Price change↑ 1.13%↓ 0.54%↑ 0.61%↓ 0.46%
Energy change↑ 18.7↓ 5.2↑ 4.1↑ 1.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 1.13%↓ 0.54%↑ 0.61%↓ 0.46%↑ 18.7↓ 5.2↑ 4.1↑ 1.4
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.46% — higher than 25% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 1.4 pts — higher than 8% of past rises
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral AVAXUSD 4H

Sample: 13,316 4H candles from 2020-09-22 to 2026-10-20
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,170 times

▸When AVAXUSD is in Neutral:

  • then AVAXUSD moved to higher Market State: 572 times — 48.9%
  • then AVAXUSD moved to lower Market State: 598 times — 51.1%

▸Current AVAXUSD market energy: 16.43%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 4.45%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 37.31%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

AVAXUSD · H4 · 2026-10-21 08:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live AVAXUSD chart →
Market Energy
15.1%
Neutral
16.4%
Neutral
63.9%
Bull Critical
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

The balanced energy zone is the result just recorded for AVAXUSD after the 4H candle closed.

The energy side shows Energy delta +1.4%: Market Energy at 16.4%, previously 15.1%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 6 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AVAXUSD Market Energy ranged from -95.5 to 68.6.

Frequently asked questions

What did AVAXUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 19:00 on 21-10-2026, AVAXUSD was at 9.716, down 0.46% from the previous candle (9.761). Market Energy was 16.4%, up 1.4 points from 15.1%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did AVAXUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

AVAXUSD closed at 9.716, down 0.46% from the previous 4H candle (9.761). This drop is larger than 25% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AVAXUSD, across 13,320 candles since 2019.

How did AVAXUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 1.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from 15.1% to 16.4%. This rise is larger than 8% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for AVAXUSD.

Do AVAXUSD price and energy agree?

No. Price moved down while energy moved up on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was AVAXUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AVAXUSD at 15.1%, Neutral — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does AVAXUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 16.4%, AVAXUSD is 4.45 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 37.31 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -77.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -59.4%. Against this backdrop, AVAXUSD (Neutral, 16.4%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -38.7%. AVAXUSD energy is currently above DXY by 55.1 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AVAXUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AVAXUSD on the AVAXUSD overview →

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