Analysis

AVAXUSD 9.761 ↑0.61%: Bulls & Bears in a tug-of-war · 4H 15:00 Oct 21, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 9.701 · High 9.78 · Low 9.613 · Close 9.761 · Range (high − low) 0.167
AVAXUSD closed at 9.761, up 0.059 (+0.61%) from 9.702.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Neutral zone at 11.0% to Neutral at 15.1%, up 4.1 points.
Price and energy are moving up together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price9.6469.7559.7029.761
Energy-2.5%16.2%11.0%15.1%
Price change↑ 0.18%↑ 1.13%↓ 0.54%↑ 0.61%
Energy change↑ 10.2↑ 18.7↓ 5.2↑ 4.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 0.18%↑ 1.13%↓ 0.54%↑ 0.61%↑ 10.2↑ 18.7↓ 5.2↑ 4.1
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.61% — higher than 31% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 4.1 pts — higher than 23% of past rises
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral AVAXUSD 4H

Sample: 13,316 4H candles from 2020-09-22 to 2026-10-20
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,170 times

▸When AVAXUSD is in Neutral:

  • then AVAXUSD moved to higher Market State: 572 times — 48.9%
  • then AVAXUSD moved to lower Market State: 598 times — 51.1%

▸Current AVAXUSD market energy: 15.05%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 5.83%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 35.93%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

AVAXUSD · H4 · 2026-10-21 04:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live AVAXUSD chart →
Market Energy
11.0%
Neutral
15.1%
Neutral
16.4%
Neutral
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

As the 4H candle completes, AVAXUSD currently in the Neutral energy state.

Meanwhile, Market Energy at 15.1%, up +4.1% from 11% in the previous candle.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 5 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AVAXUSD Market Energy ranged from -95.5 to 75.

Frequently asked questions

What did AVAXUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 15:00 on 21-10-2026, AVAXUSD was at 9.761, up 0.61% from the previous candle (9.702). Market Energy was 15.1%, up 4.1 points from 11%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did AVAXUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

AVAXUSD closed at 9.761, up 0.61% from the previous 4H candle (9.702). This rise is larger than 31% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for AVAXUSD, across 13,319 candles since 2019.

How did AVAXUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 4.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from 11% to 15.1%. This rise is larger than 23% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for AVAXUSD.

Do AVAXUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved up on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was AVAXUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AVAXUSD at 11%, Neutral — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does AVAXUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 15.1%, AVAXUSD is 5.83 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 35.93 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 50.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 14.8%. Against this backdrop, AVAXUSD (Neutral, 15.1%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 2.7%. AVAXUSD energy is currently above DXY by 12.4 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AVAXUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AVAXUSD on the AVAXUSD overview →

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