Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
AVAXUSD from 11.216 to 11.332, up 1.03%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 82.1% to Bull Critical 74.4%, down 7.6 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 9.89%▲ 3.38%▼ 5.29%▲ 1.03%
Energy▲ 109.3▲ 29.5▼ 16.0▼ 7.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 9.89%▲ 3.38%▼ 5.29%▲ 1.03%▲ 109.3▲ 29.5▼ 16.0▼ 7.6
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 1.03% — higher than 48% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 7.6 pts — higher than 40% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical AVAXUSD 4H

Sample: 13,186 4H candles from 2020-09-22 to 2026-09-28
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 615 times

▸When AVAXUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then AVAXUSD moved to higher Market State: 169 times — 27.5%
  • then AVAXUSD moved to lower Market State: 446 times — 72.5%

▸Current AVAXUSD market energy: 74.44%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 0.06%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 14.44%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

AVAXUSD · H4 · 2026-09-29 16:00 UTC
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Market Energy
82.1%
Bull Extreme
74.4%
Bull Critical
Expected at
07:10
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

With the 4H candle just closed, Result for AVAXUSD: the Bull Critical measurement.

Market trend update: Market Energy moved from 82.1% to 74.4%, down -7.6% from the previous candle.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AVAXUSD Market Energy ranged from -83.7 to +98.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did AVAXUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 23:00 on 29-09-2026 closed, AVAXUSD was at 11.332, up 1.03% from the previous candle (11.216). Market Energy was 74.4%, down 7.6 points from 82.1%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did AVAXUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

AVAXUSD closed at 11.332, up 1.03% from the previous 4H candle (11.216). This rise is larger than 48% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for AVAXUSD, across 13,190 candles since 2019.

How did AVAXUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 7.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from 82.1% to 74.4%. This drop is larger than 40% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AVAXUSD.

Do AVAXUSD price and energy agree?

No. On this candle price rose but energy fell — the two moved in opposite directions. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was AVAXUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AVAXUSD at 82.1%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, AVAXUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Critical.

Where does AVAXUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 74.4%, AVAXUSD is 0.06 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 14.44 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -82.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -97.6%. Against this backdrop, AVAXUSD (Bull Critical, 74.4%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 85.5%. AVAXUSD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AVAXUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AVAXUSD on the AVAXUSD overview →

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