Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
DXY Index from 101.269 to 101.079 points, down 0.19%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 83.8% to Bull Critical 67.1%, down 16.7 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.06%▲ 0.00%▲ 0.22%▼ 0.19%
Energy▲ 16.0▼ 10.2▲ 28.7▼ 16.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.06%▲ 0.00%▲ 0.22%▼ 0.19%▲ 16.0▼ 10.2▲ 28.7▼ 16.7
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.19% — higher than 83% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 16.7 pts — higher than 76% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical DXY Index 4H

Sample: 242 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-09-29
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 16 times

▸When DXY Index is in Bull Critical:

  • then DXY Index moved to higher Market State: 6 times — 37.5%
  • then DXY Index moved to lower Market State: 10 times — 62.5%

▸Current DXY Index market energy: 67.14%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 7.36%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 7.14%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

DXY · H4 · 2026-09-29 17:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
83.8%
Bull Extreme
67.1%
Bull Critical
Expected at
08:10
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

After the 4H candle closes, DXY Index in the Bull Critical energy zone.

Looking at the energy level, Market Energy dropped -16.7% from the previous session, from 83.8% to 67.1%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, DXY Index Market Energy ranged from -63.5 to +83.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did DXY Index price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 00:00 on 30-09-2026 closed, DXY Index was at 101.079, down 0.19% from the previous candle (101.269). Market Energy was 67.1%, down 16.7 points from 83.8%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did DXY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

DXY closed at 101.079, down 0.19% from the previous 4H candle (101.269). This drop is larger than 83% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for DXY, across 243 candles since 2019.

How did DXY Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 16.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from 83.8% to 67.1%. This drop is larger than 76% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for DXY.

Do DXY price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was DXY Index in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had DXY Index at 83.8%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, DXY Index moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Critical.

Where does DXY Index energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 67.1%, DXY Index is 7.36 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 7.14 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -80.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -93.1%. Against this backdrop, DXY Index (Bull Critical, 67.1%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for DXY Index.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for DXY on the DXY Index overview →

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