Analysis

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Price and energy
AVAXUSD from 7.895 to 7.857, down 0.48%
Market Energy Neutral -6.4% to Bear Bias -29.5%, down 23.0 pts
Down candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price1.01%0.75%0.98%0.48%
Energy4.74.223.123.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
1.01% 0.75% 0.98% 0.48% 4.7 4.2 23.1 23.0
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.48% — higher than 26% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 23.0 pts — higher than 76% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias AVAXUSD 4H

Sample: 13,068 4H candles from 2020-09-22 to 2026-09-09
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,083 times

When AVAXUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then AVAXUSD moved to higher Market State: 669 times61.8%
  • then AVAXUSD moved to lower Market State: 414 times38.2%

Current AVAXUSD market energy: -29.46%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 8.58%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 30.54%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

AVAXUSD · H4 · 2026-09-09 16:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-6.4%
Neutral
-29.5%
Bear Bias
-37.8%
Bear Bias
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Following the completion of the 4H candle, AVAXUSD within the energy zone leaning Bear.

On trend energy, Market Energy dropped -23% from the previous session, from -6.4% to -29.5%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AVAXUSD Market Energy ranged from -29.5 to +93.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did AVAXUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 23:00 on 09-09-2026 closed, AVAXUSD was at 7.857, down 0.48% from the previous candle (7.895). Market Energy was -29.5%, down 23.0 points from -6.4%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did AVAXUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

AVAXUSD closed at 7.857, down 0.48% from the previous 4H candle (7.895). This drop is larger than 26% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AVAXUSD, across 13,070 candles since 2019.

How did AVAXUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 23 percentage points from the previous candle — from -6.4% to -29.5%. This drop is larger than 76% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AVAXUSD.

Do AVAXUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was AVAXUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AVAXUSD at -6.4%, Neutral — when this candle closed, AVAXUSD moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Bias.

Where does AVAXUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -29.5%, AVAXUSD is 8.58 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 30.54 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -42.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -73.6%. Against this backdrop, AVAXUSD (Bear Bias, -29.5%) has higher energy than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 49.9%. AVAXUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AVAXUSD.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AVAXUSD on the AVAXUSD overview →

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