Analysis

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Price and energy
ADAUSD from 0.2147 to 0.2119, down 1.30%
Market Energy Bear Bias -36.7% to Bear Bias -45.8%, down 9.1 pts
Down candle #4 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.59%2.09%0.46%1.30%
Energy3.633.622.59.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.59% 2.09% 0.46% 1.30% 3.6 33.6 22.5 9.1
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.30% — higher than 64% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 9.1 pts — higher than 52% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias ADAUSD 4H

Sample: 18,391 4H candles from 2018-04-17 to 2026-09-08
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,352 times

When ADAUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then ADAUSD moved to higher Market State: 972 times71.9%
  • then ADAUSD moved to lower Market State: 380 times28.1%

Current ADAUSD market energy: -45.82%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 24.94%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 14.18%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

ADAUSD · H4 · 2026-09-09 20:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-36.7%
Bear Bias
-45.8%
Bear Bias
Expected at
11:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

ADAUSD recorded in trend energy leaning Bear as the 4H candle ended.

Market trend update: Market Energy moved from -36.7% to -45.8%, down -9.1% from the previous candle.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 2 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ADAUSD Market Energy ranged from -45.8 to +75.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did ADAUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 03:00 on 10-09-2026 closed, ADAUSD was at 0.2119, down 1.3% from the previous candle (0.2147). Market Energy was -45.8%, down 9.1 points from -36.7%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did ADAUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

ADAUSD closed at 0.2119, down 1.3% from the previous 4H candle (0.2147). This drop is larger than 64% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for ADAUSD, across 16,849 candles since 2019.

How did ADAUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 9.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from -36.7% to -45.8%. This drop is larger than 52% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for ADAUSD.

Do ADAUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was ADAUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had ADAUSD at -36.7%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does ADAUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -45.8%, ADAUSD is 24.94 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 14.18 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -32.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -71.7%. Against this backdrop, ADAUSD (Bear Bias, -45.8%) has higher energy than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 40.9%. ADAUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ADAUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ADAUSD on the ADAUSD overview →

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