Analysis

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Price and energy
AVAXUSD from 6.408 to 6.434, up 0.41%
Market Energy Bear Bias -58.9% to Bear Critical -64.2%, down 5.3 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price1.87%1.07%3.11%0.41%
Energy72.46.851.75.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
1.87% 1.07% 3.11% 0.41% 72.4 6.8 51.7 5.3
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.41% — higher than 21% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 5.3 pts — higher than 30% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical AVAXUSD 4H

Sample: 13,072 4H candles from 2020-09-22 to 2026-09-09
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 627 times

When AVAXUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then AVAXUSD moved to higher Market State: 464 times74%
  • then AVAXUSD moved to lower Market State: 163 times26%

Current AVAXUSD market energy: -64.2%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 4.2%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 10.3%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

AVAXUSD · H4 · 2026-07-28 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-58.9%
Bear Bias
-64.2%
Bear Critical
-57.7%
Bear Bias
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

The system just recorded AVAXUSD in the near-peak Bear energy level after the 4H candle closed.

Market energy movement A -5.3% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now -64.2% (previous: -58.9%).

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AVAXUSD Market Energy ranged from -92.6 to +99.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did AVAXUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 07:00 on 28-07-2026 closed, AVAXUSD was at 6.434, up 0.41% from the previous candle (6.408). Market Energy was -64.2%, down 5.3 points from -58.9%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did AVAXUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

AVAXUSD closed at 6.434, up 0.41% from the previous 4H candle (6.408). This rise is larger than 21% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for AVAXUSD, across 12,808 candles since 2019.

How did AVAXUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 5.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from -58.9% to -64.2%. This drop is larger than 30% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AVAXUSD.

Do AVAXUSD price and energy agree?

No. On this candle price rose but energy fell — the two moved in opposite directions. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was AVAXUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AVAXUSD at -58.9%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, AVAXUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does AVAXUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -64.2%, AVAXUSD is 4.2 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 10.3 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -48.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -49.7%. Against this backdrop, AVAXUSD (Bear Critical, -64.2%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 61.1%. AVAXUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AVAXUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AVAXUSD on the AVAXUSD overview →

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