Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
AUS200 Index from 8,613 to 8,636 points, up 0.27%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -74.7% to Bear Bias -25.3%, up 49.4 pts
Up candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 1.09%▼ 0.85%▲ 0.61%▲ 0.27%
Energy▼ 74.3▼ 3.6▲ 15.6▲ 49.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 1.09%▼ 0.85%▲ 0.61%▲ 0.27%▼ 74.3▼ 3.6▲ 15.6▲ 49.4
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.27% — higher than 63% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 49.4 pts — higher than 92% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias AUS200 Index 4H

Sample: 254 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-01
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 24 times

▸When AUS200 Index is in Bear Bias:

  • then AUS200 Index moved to higher Market State: 13 times — 54.2%
  • then AUS200 Index moved to lower Market State: 11 times — 45.8%

▸Current AUS200 Index market energy: -25.32%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 4.44%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 34.68%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

AUS200 · H4 · 2026-10-01 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live AUS200 chart →
Market Energy
-74.7%
Bear Extreme
-25.3%
Bear Bias
Expected at
04:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

The Bear Bias zone is the result just recorded for AUS200 Index after the 4H candle closed.

End-of-session update for 4H, The energy level rose +49.4%: from -74.7% now at -25.3%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AUS200 Index Market Energy ranged from -90.3 to +84.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did AUS200 Index price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 01-10-2026 closed, AUS200 Index was at 8,636, up 0.27% from the previous candle (8,613). Market Energy was -25.3%, up 49.4 points from -74.7%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did AUS200 price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

AUS200 closed at 8,636, up 0.27% from the previous 4H candle (8,613). This rise is larger than 63% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for AUS200, across 253 candles since 2019.

How did AUS200 Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 49.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from -74.7% to -25.3%. This rise is larger than 92% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for AUS200.

Do AUS200 price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was AUS200 Index in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AUS200 Index at -74.7%, Bear Extreme — when this candle closed, AUS200 Index moved up to a higher zone: Bear Extreme → Bear Bias.

Where does AUS200 Index energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -25.3%, AUS200 Index is 4.44 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 34.68 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -67.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -8.5%. Against this backdrop, AUS200 Index (Bear Bias, -25.3%) has higher energy than SPX500; lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 19.1%. AUS200 Index energy is currently below DXY by 44.4 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AUS200 Index.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AUS200 on the AUS200 Index overview →

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