Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
COCOA from 5,129.65 to 5,466.15, up 6.56%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -98.9% to Bear Bias -44.4%, up 54.6 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.49%▼ 0.28%▼ 4.76%▲ 6.56%
Energy▲ 8.3▼ 1.9▼ 20.7▲ 54.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.49%▼ 0.28%▼ 4.76%▲ 6.56%▲ 8.3▼ 1.9▼ 20.7▲ 54.6
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 6.56% — higher than 99% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 54.6 pts — higher than 95% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias COCOA 4H

Sample: 96 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-09-30
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 12 times

▸When COCOA is in Bear Bias:

  • then COCOA moved to higher Market State: 9 times — 75%
  • then COCOA moved to lower Market State: 3 times — 25%

▸Current COCOA market energy: -44.36%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 23.48%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 15.64%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

COCOA · H4 · 2026-10-01 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live COCOA chart →
Market Energy
-98.9%
Bear Extreme
-44.4%
Bear Bias
Expected at
04:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Observing the completed 4H candle, Result for COCOA: energy leaning Bear.

Market movement just recorded on the 4H timeframe, Compared to the previous candle (-98.9%), Market Energy rose +54.6% to -44.4%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, COCOA Market Energy ranged from -98.9 to +71.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did COCOA price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 01-10-2026 closed, COCOA was at 5,466.15, up 6.56% from the previous candle (5,129.65). Market Energy was -44.4%, up 54.6 points from -98.9%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did COCOA price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

COCOA closed at 5,466.15, up 6.56% from the previous 4H candle (5,129.65). This rise is larger than 99% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for COCOA, across 97 candles since 2019.

How did COCOA Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 54.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from -98.9% to -44.4%. This rise is larger than 95% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for COCOA.

Do COCOA price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was COCOA in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had COCOA at -98.9%, Bear Extreme — when this candle closed, COCOA moved up to a higher zone: Bear Extreme → Bear Bias.

Where does COCOA energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -44.4%, COCOA is 23.48 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 15.64 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -67.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -8.5%. Against this backdrop, COCOA (Bear Bias, -44.4%) has higher energy than SPX500; lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 19.1%. COCOA energy is currently below DXY by 63.4 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for COCOA.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for COCOA on the COCOA overview →

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