Analysis

·

Price and energy
AUS200 Index from 8,654.5 to 8,622 points, down 0.38%
Market Energy Bear Bias -40.8% to Bear Critical -64.9%, down 24.1 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.20%0.12%0.29%0.38%
Energy5.03.113.624.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.20% 0.12% 0.29% 0.38% 5.0 3.1 13.6 24.1
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.38% — higher than 80% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 24.1 pts — higher than 71% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical AUS200 Index 4H

Sample: 197 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-09-16
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 15 times

When AUS200 Index is in Bear Critical:

  • then AUS200 Index moved to higher Market State: 8 times53.3%
  • then AUS200 Index moved to lower Market State: 7 times46.7%

Current AUS200 Index market energy: -64.93%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 4.93%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 9.57%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

AUS200 · H4 · 2026-09-16 17:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live AUS200 chart →
Market Energy
-40.8%
Bear Bias
-64.9%
Bear Critical
Expected at
08:10
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Measurement result after the 4H candle closes, AUS200 Index reflects the Bear Critical measurement.

Meanwhile, The energy level dropped -24.1%: from -40.8% now at -64.9%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AUS200 Index Market Energy ranged from -95.7 to +29.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did AUS200 Index price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 00:00 on 17-09-2026 closed, AUS200 Index was at 8,622, down 0.38% from the previous candle (8,654.5). Market Energy was -64.9%, down 24.1 points from -40.8%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did AUS200 price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

AUS200 closed at 8,622, down 0.38% from the previous 4H candle (8,654.5). This drop is larger than 80% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AUS200, across 199 candles since 2019.

How did AUS200 Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 24.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from -40.8% to -64.9%. This drop is larger than 71% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AUS200.

Do AUS200 price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was AUS200 Index in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AUS200 Index at -40.8%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, AUS200 Index moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does AUS200 Index energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -64.9%, AUS200 Index is 4.93 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 9.57 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 41.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 63.3%. Against this backdrop, AUS200 Index (Bear Critical, -64.9%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 28%. AUS200 Index (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AUS200 Index.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AUS200 on the AUS200 Index overview →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .