Analysis

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Price and energy
AUS200 Index from 8,820.1 to 8,819.1 points, down 0.01%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -91.2% to Bear Extreme -91.4%, down 0.2 pts
Down candle #4 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.28%0.41%0.36%0.01%
Energy0.46.510.60.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.28% 0.41% 0.36% 0.01% 0.4 6.5 10.6 0.2
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.01% — higher than 5% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 0.2 pts — higher than 1% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme AUS200 Index 4H

Sample: 174 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-09-09
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 11 times

When AUS200 Index is in Bear Extreme:

  • then AUS200 Index moved to higher Market State: 11 times100%
  • then AUS200 Index moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current AUS200 Index market energy: -91.45%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 16.95%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 8.55%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

AUS200 · H4 · 2026-09-09 17:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-91.2%
Bear Extreme
-91.4%
Bear Extreme
Expected at
08:10
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Reading from the 4H candle, AUS200 Index recorded in Bear energy in an extreme reading.

On the 2AiTrading energy system, Market Energy dropped -0.2% this candle, currently -91.4% (previous candle -91.2%).

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 3 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AUS200 Index Market Energy ranged from -100 to +6.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did AUS200 Index price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 00:00 on 10-09-2026 closed, AUS200 Index was at 8,819.1, down 0.01% from the previous candle (8,820.1). Market Energy was -91.4%, down 0.2 points from -91.2%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did AUS200 price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

AUS200 closed at 8,819.1, down 0.01% from the previous 4H candle (8,820.1). This drop is larger than 5% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AUS200, across 174 candles since 2019.

How did AUS200 Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 0.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from -91.2% to -91.4%. This drop is larger than 1% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AUS200.

Do AUS200 price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was AUS200 Index in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AUS200 Index at -91.2%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does AUS200 Index energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -91.4%, AUS200 Index is 16.95 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 8.55 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -30.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -70.7%. Against this backdrop, AUS200 Index (Bear Extreme, -91.4%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 40.9%. AUS200 Index (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AUS200 Index.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AUS200 on the AUS200 Index overview →

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