Analysis

AUS200 Index 8,793.4 points ↓0.08%: Bears have the edge · 1H 15:00 Oct 16, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 8,800.9 · High 8,800.9 · Low 8,784.4 · Close 8,793.4 · Range (high − low) 16.5
AUS200 Index closed at 8,793.4 points, down 7 (-0.08%) from 8,800.4.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Neutral zone at 3.3% to Bear Bias at -26.7%, down 29.9 points.
Fourth straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price8,8178,811.58,800.48,793.4
Energy69.0%58.3%3.3%-26.7%
Price change↓ 0.05%↓ 0.06%↓ 0.13%↓ 0.08%
Energy change↑ 13.9↓ 10.7↓ 55.0↓ 29.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 0.05%↓ 0.06%↓ 0.13%↓ 0.08%↑ 13.9↓ 10.7↓ 55.0↓ 29.9
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.08% — higher than 44% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 29.9 pts — higher than 80% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias AUS200 Index 1H

Sample: 54,497 1H candles from 2017-05-01 to 2026-10-23
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 4,448 times

▸When AUS200 Index is in Bear Bias:

  • then AUS200 Index moved to higher Market State: 2,808 times — 63.1%
  • then AUS200 Index moved to lower Market State: 1,640 times — 36.9%

▸Current AUS200 Index market energy: -26.66%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 5.78%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 33.34%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

AUS200 · H1 · 2026-10-16 07:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live AUS200 chart →
Market Energy
3.3%
Neutral
-26.7%
Bear Bias
14.9%
Neutral
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

The system just recorded AUS200 Index in the Bear Bias energy zone after the 1H candle closed.

Market energy movement Market Energy dropped -29.9% from the previous session, from 3.3% to -26.7%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AUS200 Index Market Energy ranged from -100 to 96.6.

Frequently asked questions

What did AUS200 Index price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle closed at 15:00 on 16-10-2026, AUS200 Index was at 8,793.4, down 0.08% from the previous candle (8,800.4). Market Energy was -26.7%, down 29.9 points from 3.3%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did AUS200 price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

AUS200 closed at 8,793.4, down 0.08% from the previous 1H candle (8,800.4). This drop is larger than 44% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for AUS200, across 44,916 candles since 2019.

How did AUS200 Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 29.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from 3.3% to -26.7%. This drop is larger than 80% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for AUS200.

Do AUS200 price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was AUS200 Index in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had AUS200 Index at 3.3%, Neutral — when this candle closed, AUS200 Index moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Bias.

Where does AUS200 Index energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -26.7%, AUS200 Index is 5.78 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 33.34 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 48.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 64.2%. Against this backdrop, AUS200 Index (Bear Bias, -26.7%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -69.2%. AUS200 Index (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AUS200 Index.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AUS200 on the AUS200 Index overview →

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