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Research

AUS200 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
54,474 AUS200 1H candles
Period
2017-05-01 – 2026-10-22 (9.5 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD4H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Bull Extreme2,329 times
↑0%
↓100%
Bull Critical3,184 times
↑33.4%
↓66.6%
Bull Bias4,808 times
↑44%
↓56%
Neutral4,672 times
↑53.1%
↓46.9%
Bear Bias4,446 times
↑63.1%
↓36.9%
Bear Critical★★2,665 times
↑70.4%
↓29.6%
Bear Extreme2,034 times
↑100%
↓0%
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Market Energy→Market State→Threshold→Bear Critical→Sellers→

AUS200 — Bear Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 2,034 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 2,034 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

AUS200 — Bear Critical — 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 2,665 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 1,875 times — 70.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 790 times — 29.6%

Current market energy at -68.75%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 8.75 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 5.75 points

AUS200 — Bear Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 4,446 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 2,806 times — 63.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 1,640 times — 36.9%

AUS200 — Neutral — 1H

Occurrences: 4,672 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 2,480 times — 53.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 2,192 times — 46.9%

AUS200 — Bull Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 4,808 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 2,117 times — 44%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 2,691 times — 56%

AUS200 — Bull Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 3,184 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 1,062 times — 33.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 2,122 times — 66.6%

AUS200 — Bull Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 2,329 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 2,329 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of AUS200?

Historically, when AUS200 was in the Bear Critical zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 70.4% of the time and down to a lower zone 29.6% of the time (across 2,665 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%. The market is at -68.75%, 8.75 points from the upper bound and 5.75 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 54,474 candles from 2017-05-01 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing AUS200's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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