Analysis

AUDUSD 0.70186 ↓0.11%: Bears have the edge · 4H 00:00 Oct 27, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 0.70264 · High 0.70274 · Low 0.70125 · Close 0.70186 · Range (high − low) 0.00149
AUDUSD closed at 0.70186, down 0.00079 (-0.11%) from 0.70265.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Bias zone at 26.1% to Bear Bias at -27.0%, down 53.1 points.
Second straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price0.702960.703130.702650.70186
Energy43.2%43.7%26.1%-27.0%
Price change↓ 0.01%↑ 0.02%↓ 0.07%↓ 0.11%
Energy change↓ 10.2↑ 0.5↓ 17.6↓ 53.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 0.01%↑ 0.02%↓ 0.07%↓ 0.11%↓ 10.2↑ 0.5↓ 17.6↓ 53.1
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.11% — higher than 44% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 53.1 pts — higher than 98% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias AUDUSD 4H

Sample: 18,367 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-26
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,520 times

▸When AUDUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then AUDUSD moved to higher Market State: 1,039 times — 68.4%
  • then AUDUSD moved to lower Market State: 481 times — 31.6%

▸Current AUDUSD market energy: -27%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 6.12%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 33%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

AUDUSD · H4 · 2026-10-26 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live AUDUSD chart →
Market Energy
26.1%
Bull Bias
-27.0%
Bear Bias
Expected at
04:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Observing the completed 4H candle, AUDUSD within the Bear trend energy zone.

Market energy measurement A -53.1% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now -27% (previous: 26.1%).

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AUDUSD Market Energy ranged from -27 to 77.2.

Frequently asked questions

What did AUDUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 00:00 on 26-10-2026, AUDUSD was at 0.70186, down 0.11% from the previous candle (0.70265). Market Energy was -27%, down 53.1 points from 26.1%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did AUDUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

AUDUSD closed at 0.70186, down 0.11% from the previous 4H candle (0.70265). This drop is larger than 44% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AUDUSD, across 12,164 candles since 2019.

How did AUDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 53.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from 26.1% to -27%. This drop is larger than 98% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AUDUSD.

Do AUDUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was AUDUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AUDUSD at 26.1%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, AUDUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Bear Bias.

Where does AUDUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -27%, AUDUSD is 6.12 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 33 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 4.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 72.4%. Against this backdrop, AUDUSD (Bear Bias, -27%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 93.9%. AUDUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AUDUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AUDUSD on the AUDUSD overview →

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