Analysis

AUDUSD 0.70284 ↓0.03%: Bulls very strong · 4H 04:00 Oct 22, 2026

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Candle close
Price and energy
Open 0.70317 · High 0.70349 · Low 0.70188 · Close 0.70284 · Range (high − low) 0.00161
AUDUSD closed at 0.70284, down 0.00023 (-0.03%) from 0.70307.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Extreme zone at 77.2% to Bull Critical at 66.1%, down 11.1 points.
Second straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price0.702690.703490.703070.70284
Energy62.8%89.6%77.2%66.1%
Price change↑ 0.24%↑ 0.11%↓ 0.06%↓ 0.03%
Energy change↑ 12.0↑ 26.8↓ 12.4↓ 11.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 0.24%↑ 0.11%↓ 0.06%↓ 0.03%↑ 12.0↑ 26.8↓ 12.4↓ 11.1
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.03% — higher than 14% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 11.1 pts — higher than 53% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical AUDUSD 4H

Sample: 18,348 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-20
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 579 times

▸When AUDUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then AUDUSD moved to higher Market State: 178 times — 30.7%
  • then AUDUSD moved to lower Market State: 401 times — 69.3%

▸Current AUDUSD market energy: 66.07%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 8.43%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 6.07%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

AUDUSD · H4 · 2026-10-21 17:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live AUDUSD chart →
Market Energy
77.2%
Bull Extreme
66.1%
Bull Critical
60.9%
Bull Critical
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

AUDUSD processing result: the near-extreme Bull energy level after the 4H candle closed.

Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, A -11.1% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now 66.1% (previous: 77.2%).

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AUDUSD Market Energy ranged from 7.7 to 89.6.

Frequently asked questions

What did AUDUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 04:00 on 22-10-2026, AUDUSD was at 0.70284, down 0.03% from the previous candle (0.70307). Market Energy was 66.1%, down 11.1 points from 77.2%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did AUDUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

AUDUSD closed at 0.70284, down 0.03% from the previous 4H candle (0.70307). This drop is larger than 14% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AUDUSD, across 12,147 candles since 2019.

How did AUDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 11.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from 77.2% to 66.1%. This drop is larger than 53% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AUDUSD.

Do AUDUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was AUDUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AUDUSD at 77.2%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, AUDUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Critical.

Where does AUDUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 66.1%, AUDUSD is 8.43 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 6.07 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 88.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 74.8%. Against this backdrop, AUDUSD (Bull Critical, 66.1%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -36.7%. AUDUSD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AUDUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AUDUSD on the AUDUSD overview →

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