Analysis

AUDUSD 0.69607 ↑0.2%: Bulls in the peak-force zone · 4H 16:00 Oct 16, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 0.69468 · High 0.69613 · Low 0.6938 · Close 0.69607 · Range (high − low) 0.00233
AUDUSD closed at 0.69607, up 0.00138 (+0.20%) from 0.69469.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Neutral zone at -3.0% to Bull Extreme at 74.9%, up 77.9 points.
Fourth straight up candle, price and energy are moving up together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price0.692080.692150.694690.69607
Energy-79.2%-74.7%-3.0%74.9%
Price change↑ 0.18%↑ 0.01%↑ 0.37%↑ 0.20%
Energy change↑ 8.9↑ 4.5↑ 71.7↑ 77.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 0.18%↑ 0.01%↑ 0.37%↑ 0.20%↑ 8.9↑ 4.5↑ 71.7↑ 77.9
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.20% — higher than 67% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 77.9 pts — largest on record (since 2019)
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme AUDUSD 4H

Sample: 18,348 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-20
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 224 times

▸When AUDUSD is in Bull Extreme:

  • then AUDUSD moved to higher Market State: 0 times — 0%
  • then AUDUSD moved to lower Market State: 224 times — 100%

▸Current AUDUSD market energy: 74.87%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 25.13%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 0.37%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

AUDUSD · H4 · 2026-10-16 05:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live AUDUSD chart →
Market Energy
-3.0%
Neutral
74.9%
Bull Extreme
60.4%
Bull Critical
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle closes, Result for AUDUSD: the Bull Extreme zone.

On the energy side, Market Energy rose +77.9% this candle, currently 74.9% (previous candle -3%).

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AUDUSD Market Energy ranged from -97.3 to 99.3.

Frequently asked questions

What did AUDUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 16:00 on 16-10-2026, AUDUSD was at 0.69607, up 0.2% from the previous candle (0.69469). Market Energy was 74.9%, up 77.9 points from -3%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did AUDUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

AUDUSD closed at 0.69607, up 0.2% from the previous 4H candle (0.69469). This rise is larger than 67% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for AUDUSD, across 12,126 candles since 2019.

How did AUDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 77.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from -3% to 74.9%. This is the largest of all rises on the 4H timeframe for AUDUSD on record since 2019.

Do AUDUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was AUDUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AUDUSD at -3%, Neutral — when this candle closed, AUDUSD moved up to a higher zone: Neutral → Bull Extreme.

Where does AUDUSD energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 74.9%, AUDUSD is 25.13 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 0.37 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 79%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 30.1%. Against this backdrop, AUDUSD (Bull Extreme, 74.9%) has higher energy than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -71%. AUDUSD (Bull Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AUDUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AUDUSD on the AUDUSD overview →

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