Analysis

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Price and energy
AUDUSD from 0.7171 to 0.7147, down 0.33%
Market Energy Neutral 14.2% to Bear Bias -41.9%, down 56.1 pts
Down candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.25%0.16%0.05%0.33%
Energy92.81.910.456.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.25% 0.16% 0.05% 0.33% 92.8 1.9 10.4 56.1
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.33% — higher than 85% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 56.1 pts — higher than 98% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias AUDUSD 4H

Sample: 18,185 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,503 times

When AUDUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then AUDUSD moved to higher Market State: 1,031 times68.6%
  • then AUDUSD moved to lower Market State: 472 times31.4%

Current AUDUSD market energy: -41.91%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 21.03%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 18.09%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

AUDUSD · H4 · 2026-09-13 21:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
14.2%
Neutral
-41.9%
Bear Bias
Expected at
12:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

With the 4H candle just closed, Result for AUDUSD: the Bear Bias state.

Market movement just recorded on the 4H timeframe, Market Energy dropped -56.1% from the previous session, from 14.2% to -41.9%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AUDUSD Market Energy ranged from -98 to +54.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did AUDUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 04:00 on 14-09-2026 closed, AUDUSD was at 0.7147, down 0.33% from the previous candle (0.7171). Market Energy was -41.9%, down 56.1 points from 14.2%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did AUDUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

AUDUSD closed at 0.7147, down 0.33% from the previous 4H candle (0.7171). This drop is larger than 85% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AUDUSD, across 11,980 candles since 2019.

How did AUDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 56.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from 14.2% to -41.9%. This drop is larger than 98% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AUDUSD.

Do AUDUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was AUDUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AUDUSD at 14.2%, Neutral — when this candle closed, AUDUSD moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Bias.

Where does AUDUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -41.9%, AUDUSD is 21.03 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 18.09 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 42.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 51.9%. Against this backdrop, AUDUSD (Bear Bias, -41.9%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -56.1%. AUDUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AUDUSD.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AUDUSD on the AUDUSD overview →

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