Analysis

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Price and energy
AUDUSD from 0.71647 to 0.71665, up 0.02%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -92.7% to Bear Extreme -98.0%, down 5.3 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.06%0.09%0.66%0.02%
Energy5.810.174.25.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.06% 0.09% 0.66% 0.02% 5.8 10.1 74.2 5.3
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.02% — higher than 11% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 5.3 pts — higher than 29% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme AUDUSD 4H

Sample: 18,176 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-10
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 250 times

When AUDUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then AUDUSD moved to higher Market State: 250 times100%
  • then AUDUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current AUDUSD market energy: -97.99%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 23.49%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 2.01%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

AUDUSD · H4 · 2026-09-10 13:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-92.7%
Bear Extreme
-98.0%
Bear Extreme
Expected at
04:10
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

From the just-closed 4H candle data, AUDUSD reflects the peak Bear energy level.

End-of-session update for 4H, Market Energy dropped -5.3% this candle, currently -98% (previous candle -92.7%).

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 2 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AUDUSD Market Energy ranged from -98 to +60.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did AUDUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 10-09-2026 closed, AUDUSD was at 0.71665, up 0.02% from the previous candle (0.71647). Market Energy was -98%, down 5.3 points from -92.7%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did AUDUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

AUDUSD closed at 0.71665, up 0.02% from the previous 4H candle (0.71647). This rise is larger than 11% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for AUDUSD, across 11,972 candles since 2019.

How did AUDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 5.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from -92.7% to -98%. This drop is larger than 29% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AUDUSD.

Do AUDUSD price and energy agree?

No. Price moved up while energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was AUDUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AUDUSD at -92.7%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does AUDUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -98%, AUDUSD is 23.49 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 2.01 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -99.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -97.3%. Against this backdrop, AUDUSD (Bear Extreme, -98%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 63.5%. AUDUSD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AUDUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AUDUSD on the AUDUSD overview →

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