Analysis

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AUDUSD is currently controlled by buyers, in the Bull Critical zone. Measured energy: +67.1%.

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RESEARCH

UP–DOWN statistics for Bull Critical AUDUSD 4H

Sample: 18,115 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-08-27
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 570 times

When AUDUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then AUDUSD moved to higher Market State: 177 times31.1%
  • then AUDUSD moved to lower Market State: 393 times68.9%

Current AUDUSD market energy: 67.06%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 7.44%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 7.06%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

AUDUSD · H4 · 2026-08-21 05:00 UTC
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Market Energy
42.7%
Bull Bias
67.1%
Bull Critical
76.5%
Bull Extreme
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

With the 4H candle just closed, AUDUSD noted at Bull Critical of Market Energy.

Meanwhile, Market trend energy recorded a +24.4% rise from the previous candle, from 42.7% to 67.1%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AUDUSD Market Energy ranged from -62.7 to +81.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was AUDUSD on 4H when this candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 12:00 on 21-08-2026 closed, AUDUSD was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 67.1%, controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How did AUDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 24.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from 42.7% to 67.1%.

What state was AUDUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AUDUSD at 42.7%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, AUDUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bull Bias → Bull Critical.

Where does AUDUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 67.1%, AUDUSD is 7.44 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 7.06 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -26.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 32.8%. Against this backdrop, AUDUSD (Bull Critical, 67.1%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -16.7%. AUDUSD energy is currently above DXY by 83.8 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AUDUSD on the AUDUSD overview →

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