Analysis

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Price and energy
AUDUSD from 0.69694 to 0.69836, up 0.20%
Market Energy Bear Bias -59.9% to Bear Bias -20.9%, up 38.9 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.20% — higher than 68% of past rises
Energy up 38.9 pts — higher than 95% of past rises
Volatility trend · last 4 candlespriceenergy
0.280.090.050.2028.827.69.038.9-3-2-1nến này
AUDUSD hub
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias AUDUSD 4H

Sample: 18,125 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-08-28
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,499 times

When AUDUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then AUDUSD moved to higher Market State: 1,029 times68.6%
  • then AUDUSD moved to lower Market State: 470 times31.4%

Current AUDUSD market energy: -20.92%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 0.04%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 39.08%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

AUDUSD · H4 · 2026-07-17 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live AUDUSD chart →
Market Energy
-59.9%
Bear Bias
-20.9%
Bear Bias
-11.4%
Neutral
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

AUDUSD recorded in the Market Energy state leaning Bear as the 4H candle ended.

On trend energy, Market Energy rose +38.9% from the previous candle, from -59.9% to -20.9%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 4 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AUDUSD Market Energy ranged from -59.9 to +66.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was AUDUSD on 4H when this candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 17-07-2026 closed, AUDUSD was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -20.9%, controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How did AUDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 38.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from -59.9% to -20.9%.

What state was AUDUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AUDUSD at -59.9%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does AUDUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -20.9%, AUDUSD is 0.04 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 39.08 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 13.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -10.8%. Against this backdrop, AUDUSD (Bear Bias, -20.9%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 8.5%. AUDUSD energy is currently below DXY by 29.5 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AUDUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AUDUSD on the AUDUSD overview →

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