Analysis

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Price and energy
AUDUSD from 0.72173 to 0.72167, down 0.01%
Market Energy Bear Bias -31.6% to Bear Bias -39.4%, down 7.8 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.04%0.03%0.07%0.01%
Energy1.18.49.07.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.04% 0.03% 0.07% 0.01% 1.1 8.4 9.0 7.8
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.01% — higher than 7% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 7.8 pts — higher than 46% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias AUDUSD 1H

Sample: 72,645 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-09-09
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 5,653 times

When AUDUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then AUDUSD moved to higher Market State: 3,894 times68.9%
  • then AUDUSD moved to lower Market State: 1,759 times31.1%

Current AUDUSD market energy: -39.38%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 18.5%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 20.62%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

AUDUSD · H1 · 2026-09-09 19:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-31.6%
Bear Bias
-39.4%
Bear Bias
-34.6%
Bear Bias
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Observing the completed 1H candle, AUDUSD noted at the Bear Bias energy level.

End-of-session update for 1H, Market Energy moved from -31.6% to -39.4%, down -7.8% from the previous candle.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 5 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AUDUSD Market Energy ranged from -98.5 to +89.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did AUDUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 02:00 on 10-09-2026 closed, AUDUSD was at 0.72167, down 0.01% from the previous candle (0.72173). Market Energy was -39.4%, down 7.8 points from -31.6%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did AUDUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

AUDUSD closed at 0.72167, down 0.01% from the previous 1H candle (0.72173). This drop is larger than 7% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for AUDUSD, across 47,907 candles since 2019.

How did AUDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 7.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from -31.6% to -39.4%. This drop is larger than 46% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for AUDUSD.

Do AUDUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was AUDUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had AUDUSD at -31.6%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does AUDUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -39.4%, AUDUSD is 18.5 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 20.62 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -34.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -74.2%. Against this backdrop, AUDUSD (Bear Bias, -39.4%) has higher energy than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 46.1%. AUDUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AUDUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AUDUSD on the AUDUSD overview →

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