Analysis

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Price and energy
AUDUSD from 0.70468 to 0.70459, down 0.01%
Market Energy Bull Critical 67.1% to Bull Critical 62.5%, down 4.6 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.07%0.03%0.00%0.01%
Energy7.05.31.64.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.07% 0.03% 0.00% 0.01% 7.0 5.3 1.6 4.6
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.01% — higher than 12% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 4.6 pts — higher than 32% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical AUDUSD 1H

Sample: 72,793 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-09-17
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 2,193 times

When AUDUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then AUDUSD moved to higher Market State: 549 times25%
  • then AUDUSD moved to lower Market State: 1,644 times75%

Current AUDUSD market energy: 62.48%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 12.02%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 2.48%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

AUDUSD · H1 · 2026-08-04 21:00 UTC
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Market Energy
67.1%
Bull Critical
62.5%
Bull Critical
67.3%
Bull Critical
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

With the 1H candle just closed, AUDUSD in the Bull Critical energy zone.

Market trend update: Market Energy at 62.5%, down -4.6% from 67.1% in the previous candle.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AUDUSD Market Energy ranged from -90.6 to +77.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did AUDUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 04:00 on 05-08-2026 closed, AUDUSD was at 0.70459, down 0.01% from the previous candle (0.70468). Market Energy was 62.5%, down 4.6 points from 67.1%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did AUDUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

AUDUSD closed at 0.70459, down 0.01% from the previous 1H candle (0.70468). This drop is larger than 12% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for AUDUSD, across 47,285 candles since 2019.

How did AUDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 4.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from 67.1% to 62.5%. This drop is larger than 32% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for AUDUSD.

Do AUDUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was AUDUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had AUDUSD at 67.1%, Bull Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does AUDUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 62.5%, AUDUSD is 12.02 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 2.48 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 82.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 87.6%. Against this backdrop, AUDUSD (Bull Critical, 62.5%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -31.2%. AUDUSD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AUDUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AUDUSD on the AUDUSD overview →

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