Analysis

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Price and energy
AUDUSD from 0.70124 to 0.70041, down 0.12%
Market Energy Bear Bias -41.4% to Bear Critical -63.5%, down 22.1 pts
Down candle #4 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.12% — higher than 75% of past drops
Energy down 22.1 pts — higher than 80% of past drops
Volatility trend · last 4 candlespriceenergy
0.100.160.100.1219.143.628.122.1-3-2-1nến này
AUDUSD hub
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical AUDUSD 1H

Sample: 72,470 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-08-28
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 2,352 times

When AUDUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then AUDUSD moved to higher Market State: 1,709 times72.7%
  • then AUDUSD moved to lower Market State: 643 times27.3%

Current AUDUSD market energy: -63.48%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 3.48%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 11.02%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

AUDUSD · H1 · 2026-07-31 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-41.4%
Bear Bias
-63.5%
Bear Critical
-7.0%
Neutral
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the 1H candle completes, Result for AUDUSD: the Bear Critical reading.

Market movement just recorded on the 1H timeframe, Market Energy reading dropped -22.1%, moving from -41.4% to -63.5% after the 1H candle.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AUDUSD Market Energy ranged from -80.1 to +89.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was AUDUSD on 1H when this candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 20:00 on 31-07-2026 closed, AUDUSD was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -63.5%, controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How did AUDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 22.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from -41.4% to -63.5%.

What state was AUDUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had AUDUSD at -41.4%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, AUDUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does AUDUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -63.5%, AUDUSD is 3.48 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 11.02 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -71.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -75.7%. Against this backdrop, AUDUSD (Bear Critical, -63.5%) has higher energy than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 65.7%. AUDUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AUDUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AUDUSD on the AUDUSD overview →

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