Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
AUDJPY from 109.806 to 109.0635, down 0.68%
Market Energy Bull Bias 36.1% to Bear Bias -58.1%, down 94.1 pts
Down candle #3 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.25%▼ 0.05%▼ 0.06%▼ 0.68%
Energy▲ 57.4▼ 10.4▼ 16.4▼ 94.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.25%▼ 0.05%▼ 0.06%▼ 0.68%▲ 57.4▼ 10.4▼ 16.4▼ 94.1
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.68% — higher than 96% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 94.1 pts — higher than 99% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias AUDJPY 4H

Sample: 302 4H candles from 2026-07-22 to 2026-10-01
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 23 times

▸When AUDJPY is in Bear Bias:

  • then AUDJPY moved to higher Market State: 16 times — 69.6%
  • then AUDJPY moved to lower Market State: 7 times — 30.4%

▸Current AUDJPY market energy: -58.06%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 37.18%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 1.94%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

AUDJPY · H4 · 2026-10-01 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live AUDJPY chart →
Market Energy
36.1%
Bull Bias
-58.1%
Bear Bias
Expected at
04:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

AUDJPY classified into the Bear Bias state after the 4H candle completed.

Looking at the energy level, Market Energy reading dropped -94.1%, moving from 36.1% to -58.1% after the 4H candle.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AUDJPY Market Energy ranged from -78.8 to +62.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did AUDJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 01-10-2026 closed, AUDJPY was at 109.0635, down 0.68% from the previous candle (109.806). Market Energy was -58.1%, down 94.1 points from 36.1%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did AUDJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

AUDJPY closed at 109.0635, down 0.68% from the previous 4H candle (109.806). This drop is larger than 96% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AUDJPY, across 304 candles since 2019.

How did AUDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 94.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from 36.1% to -58.1%. This drop is larger than 99% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AUDJPY.

Do AUDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was AUDJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AUDJPY at 36.1%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, AUDJPY moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Bear Bias.

Where does AUDJPY energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -58.1%, AUDJPY is 37.18 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 1.94 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -67.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -8.5%. Against this backdrop, AUDJPY (Bear Bias, -58.1%) has higher energy than SPX500; lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 19.1%. AUDJPY energy is currently below DXY by 77.1 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AUDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AUDJPY on the AUDJPY overview →

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