Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
AUDCAD from 0.99288 to 0.9922, down 0.07%
Market Energy Bear Bias -25.5% to Bear Critical -70.6%, down 45.1 pts
Down candle #3 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.10%▼ 0.10%▼ 0.14%▼ 0.07%
Energy▲ 0.9▼ 18.1▼ 80.8▼ 45.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.10%▼ 0.10%▼ 0.14%▼ 0.07%▲ 0.9▼ 18.1▼ 80.8▼ 45.1
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.07% — higher than 52% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 45.1 pts — higher than 94% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical AUDCAD 4H

Sample: 320 4H candles from 2026-07-22 to 2026-10-06
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 13 times

▸When AUDCAD is in Bear Critical:

  • then AUDCAD moved to higher Market State: 10 times — 76.9%
  • then AUDCAD moved to lower Market State: 3 times — 23.1%

▸Current AUDCAD market energy: -70.58%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 10.58%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 3.92%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

AUDCAD · H4 · 2026-10-06 17:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live AUDCAD chart →
Market Energy
-25.5%
Bear Bias
-70.6%
Bear Critical
Expected at
08:10
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Measurement result after the 4H candle closes, AUDCAD within the Bear Critical level.

Market trend update: Market Energy at -70.6%, down -45.1% from -25.5% in the previous candle.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AUDCAD Market Energy ranged from -85.2 to +87.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did AUDCAD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 00:00 on 07-10-2026 closed, AUDCAD was at 0.9922, down 0.07% from the previous candle (0.99288). Market Energy was -70.6%, down 45.1 points from -25.5%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did AUDCAD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

AUDCAD closed at 0.9922, down 0.07% from the previous 4H candle (0.99288). This drop is larger than 52% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AUDCAD, across 323 candles since 2019.

How did AUDCAD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 45.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from -25.5% to -70.6%. This drop is larger than 94% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AUDCAD.

Do AUDCAD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was AUDCAD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AUDCAD at -25.5%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, AUDCAD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does AUDCAD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -70.6%, AUDCAD is 10.58 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 3.92 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 74%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -3.6%. Against this backdrop, AUDCAD (Bear Critical, -70.6%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -43.6%. AUDCAD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AUDCAD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AUDCAD on the AUDCAD overview →

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