Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
ADAUSD from 0.2446 to 0.2485, up 1.59%
Market Energy Bear Bias -27.0% to Neutral 6.0%, up 33.0 pts
Up candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.53%▼ 0.29%▲ 0.33%▲ 1.59%
Energy▲ 6.9▲ 0.7▲ 3.7▲ 33.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.53%▼ 0.29%▲ 0.33%▲ 1.59%▲ 6.9▲ 0.7▲ 3.7▲ 33.0
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 1.59% — higher than 71% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 33.0 pts — higher than 93% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral ADAUSD 4H

Sample: 18,518 4H candles from 2018-04-17 to 2026-09-30
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,824 times

▸When ADAUSD is in Neutral:

  • then ADAUSD moved to higher Market State: 881 times — 48.3%
  • then ADAUSD moved to lower Market State: 943 times — 51.7%

▸Current ADAUSD market energy: 5.98%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 14.9%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 26.86%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

ADAUSD · H4 · 2026-09-30 08:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-27.0%
Bear Bias
6.0%
Neutral
Expected at
23:10
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

The system just recorded ADAUSD in the balanced Market Energy zone after the 4H candle closed.

On trend energy, Energy delta +33%: Market Energy at 6%, previously -27%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ADAUSD Market Energy ranged from -96.3 to +67.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did ADAUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 15:00 on 30-09-2026 closed, ADAUSD was at 0.2485, up 1.59% from the previous candle (0.2446). Market Energy was 6%, up 33.0 points from -27%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did ADAUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

ADAUSD closed at 0.2485, up 1.59% from the previous 4H candle (0.2446). This rise is larger than 71% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for ADAUSD, across 16,972 candles since 2019.

How did ADAUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 33 percentage points from the previous candle — from -27% to 6%. This rise is larger than 93% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for ADAUSD.

Do ADAUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was ADAUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had ADAUSD at -27%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, ADAUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bear Bias → Neutral.

Where does ADAUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 6%, ADAUSD is 14.9 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 26.86 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -28.6%. Against this backdrop, ADAUSD (Neutral, 6%) has higher energy than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -71.4%. ADAUSD energy is currently above DXY by 77.4 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ADAUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ADAUSD on the ADAUSD overview →

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