Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
ADAUSD from 0.2588 to 0.2564, down 0.93%
Market Energy Bull Critical 62.8% to Bull Bias 44.0%, down 18.8 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.43%▲ 0.35%▲ 1.49%▼ 0.93%
Energy▼ 11.0▼ 5.0▲ 11.8▼ 18.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.43%▲ 0.35%▲ 1.49%▼ 0.93%▼ 11.0▼ 5.0▲ 11.8▼ 18.8
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.93% — higher than 51% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 18.8 pts — higher than 79% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias ADAUSD 4H

Sample: 18,494 4H candles from 2018-04-17 to 2026-09-26
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 1,307 times

▸When ADAUSD is in Bull Bias:

  • then ADAUSD moved to higher Market State: 382 times — 29.2%
  • then ADAUSD moved to lower Market State: 925 times — 70.8%

▸Current ADAUSD market energy: 44.02%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 15.98%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 23.14%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

ADAUSD · H4 · 2026-09-26 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live ADAUSD chart →
Market Energy
62.8%
Bull Critical
44.0%
Bull Bias
Expected at
15:10
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

The Bull Bias state recorded from just-completed 4H candle data for ADAUSD.

Market trend energy Market trend energy recorded a -18.8% drop from the previous candle, from 62.8% to 44%.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ADAUSD Market Energy ranged from -83.8 to +89.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did ADAUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 07:00 on 26-09-2026 closed, ADAUSD was at 0.2564, down 0.93% from the previous candle (0.2588). Market Energy was 44%, down 18.8 points from 62.8%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did ADAUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

ADAUSD closed at 0.2564, down 0.93% from the previous 4H candle (0.2588). This drop is larger than 51% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for ADAUSD, across 16,946 candles since 2019.

How did ADAUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 18.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from 62.8% to 44%. This drop is larger than 79% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for ADAUSD.

Do ADAUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was ADAUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had ADAUSD at 62.8%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, ADAUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Critical → Bull Bias.

Where does ADAUSD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 44%, ADAUSD is 15.98 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 23.14 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 65.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 61.1%. Against this backdrop, ADAUSD (Bull Bias, 44%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -0.3%. ADAUSD energy is currently above DXY by 44.3 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ADAUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ADAUSD on the ADAUSD overview →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .