Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
ADAUSD from 0.2598 to 0.2561, down 1.42%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 78.4% to Bull Critical 66.8%, down 11.5 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.20%0.63%2.16%1.42%
Energy6.83.513.011.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.20% 0.63% 2.16% 1.42% 6.8 3.5 13.0 11.5
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.42% — higher than 68% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 11.5 pts — higher than 62% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical ADAUSD 4H

Sample: 18,477 4H candles from 2018-04-17 to 2026-09-23
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 518 times

When ADAUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then ADAUSD moved to higher Market State: 135 times26.1%
  • then ADAUSD moved to lower Market State: 383 times73.9%

Current ADAUSD market energy: 66.83%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 7.67%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 6.83%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

ADAUSD · H4 · 2026-09-23 04:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
78.4%
Bull Extreme
66.8%
Bull Critical
21.4%
Bull Bias
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle closes, ADAUSD noted at the near-peak Bull energy state.

Market trend on the 2AiTrading energy system Market Energy moved from 78.4% to 66.8%, down -11.5% from the previous candle.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ADAUSD Market Energy ranged from -32.3 to +97.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did ADAUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 11:00 on 23-09-2026 closed, ADAUSD was at 0.2561, down 1.42% from the previous candle (0.2598). Market Energy was 66.8%, down 11.5 points from 78.4%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did ADAUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

ADAUSD closed at 0.2561, down 1.42% from the previous 4H candle (0.2598). This drop is larger than 68% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for ADAUSD, across 16,929 candles since 2019.

How did ADAUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 11.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from 78.4% to 66.8%. This drop is larger than 62% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for ADAUSD.

Do ADAUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was ADAUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had ADAUSD at 78.4%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, ADAUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Critical.

Where does ADAUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 66.8%, ADAUSD is 7.67 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 6.83 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 46.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 36.6%. Against this backdrop, ADAUSD (Bull Critical, 66.8%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 88.9%. ADAUSD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ADAUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ADAUSD on the ADAUSD overview →

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