Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
ADAUSD from 0.2527 to 0.2543, up 0.63%
Market Energy Bull Critical 68.9% to Bull Critical 65.4%, down 3.5 pts
Up candle #4 in a rowEnergy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.24%2.48%0.20%0.63%
Energy8.312.56.83.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.24% 2.48% 0.20% 0.63% 8.3 12.5 6.8 3.5
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.63% — higher than 37% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 3.5 pts — higher than 24% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical ADAUSD 4H

Sample: 18,471 4H candles from 2018-04-17 to 2026-09-22
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 517 times

When ADAUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then ADAUSD moved to higher Market State: 134 times25.9%
  • then ADAUSD moved to lower Market State: 383 times74.1%

Current ADAUSD market energy: 65.39%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 9.11%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 5.39%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

ADAUSD · H4 · 2026-09-22 20:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
68.9%
Bull Critical
65.4%
Bull Critical
78.4%
Bull Extreme
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

After the 4H candle closes, ADAUSD classified as the near-peak Bull energy state.

Per the 2AI model, Market trend energy recorded a -3.5% drop from the previous candle, from 68.9% to 65.4%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ADAUSD Market Energy ranged from -32.3 to +97.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did ADAUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 03:00 on 23-09-2026 closed, ADAUSD was at 0.2543, up 0.63% from the previous candle (0.2527). Market Energy was 65.4%, down 3.5 points from 68.9%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did ADAUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

ADAUSD closed at 0.2543, up 0.63% from the previous 4H candle (0.2527). This rise is larger than 37% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for ADAUSD, across 16,927 candles since 2019.

How did ADAUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 3.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from 68.9% to 65.4%. This drop is larger than 24% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for ADAUSD.

Do ADAUSD price and energy agree?

No. This candle recorded a price rise with energy moving the other way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was ADAUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had ADAUSD at 68.9%, Bull Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does ADAUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 65.4%, ADAUSD is 9.11 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 5.39 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -55.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -4%. Against this backdrop, ADAUSD (Bull Critical, 65.4%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 26.3%. ADAUSD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ADAUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ADAUSD on the ADAUSD overview →

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