Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
ADAUSD from 0.2448 to 0.2448, flat 0.00%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 89.0% to Bull Extreme 82.6%, down 6.5 pts
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.17%4.09%1.24%0.00%
Energy1.826.52.56.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.17% 4.09% 1.24%0.00% 1.8 26.5 2.5 6.5
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price flat 0.00% — higher than 50% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 6.5 pts — higher than 41% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme ADAUSD 4H

Sample: 18,467 4H candles from 2018-04-17 to 2026-09-21
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 255 times

When ADAUSD is in Bull Extreme:

  • then ADAUSD moved to higher Market State: 0 times0%
  • then ADAUSD moved to lower Market State: 255 times100%

Current ADAUSD market energy: 82.56%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 17.44%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 8.06%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

ADAUSD · H4 · 2026-09-21 16:00 UTC
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Market Energy
89.0%
Bull Extreme
82.6%
Bull Extreme
Expected at
07:10
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle completes, ADAUSD currently in Bull energy in an extreme reading.

Market energy measurement Energy delta -6.5%: Market Energy at 82.6%, previously 89%.

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 3 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ADAUSD Market Energy ranged from -50.5 to +97.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did ADAUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 23:00 on 21-09-2026 closed, ADAUSD was at 0.2448, unchanged 0% from the previous candle (0.2448). Market Energy was 82.6%, down 6.5 points from 89%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did ADAUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

ADAUSD closed at 0.2448, unchanged 0% from the previous 4H candle (0.2448).

How did ADAUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 6.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from 89% to 82.6%. This drop is larger than 41% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for ADAUSD.

Do ADAUSD price and energy agree?

No. On this candle price held flat while energy moved. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was ADAUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had ADAUSD at 89%, Bull Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does ADAUSD energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 82.6%, ADAUSD is 17.44 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 8.06 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 99.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 47.7%. Against this backdrop, ADAUSD (Bull Extreme, 82.6%) has higher energy than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 75.2%. ADAUSD (Bull Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ADAUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ADAUSD on the ADAUSD overview →

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