Analysis

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Price and energy
ADAUSD from 0.2278 to 0.2224, down 2.37%
Market Energy Bull Bias 56.7% to Neutral 10.9%, down 45.8 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.00%1.36%1.04%2.37%
Energy4.44.28.745.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.00% 1.36% 1.04% 2.37% 4.4 4.2 8.7 45.8
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 2.37% — higher than 85% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 45.8 pts — higher than 97% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral ADAUSD 4H

Sample: 18,457 4H candles from 2018-04-17 to 2026-09-19
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,819 times

When ADAUSD is in Neutral:

  • then ADAUSD moved to higher Market State: 878 times48.3%
  • then ADAUSD moved to lower Market State: 941 times51.7%

Current ADAUSD market energy: 10.89%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 9.99%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 31.77%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

ADAUSD · H4 · 2026-09-20 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
56.7%
Bull Bias
10.9%
Neutral
Expected at
15:10
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

From the just-closed 4H candle data, ADAUSD within neutral energy.

Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, A -45.8% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now 10.9% (previous: 56.7%).

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ADAUSD Market Energy ranged from -86.7 to +97.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did ADAUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 07:00 on 20-09-2026 closed, ADAUSD was at 0.2224, down 2.37% from the previous candle (0.2278). Market Energy was 10.9%, down 45.8 points from 56.7%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did ADAUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

ADAUSD closed at 0.2224, down 2.37% from the previous 4H candle (0.2278). This drop is larger than 85% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for ADAUSD, across 16,910 candles since 2019.

How did ADAUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 45.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from 56.7% to 10.9%. This drop is larger than 97% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for ADAUSD.

Do ADAUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was ADAUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had ADAUSD at 56.7%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, ADAUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Neutral.

Where does ADAUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 10.9%, ADAUSD is 9.99 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 31.77 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 59.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -55.2%. Against this backdrop, ADAUSD (Neutral, 10.9%) has higher energy than GER40; lower than SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -75.7%. ADAUSD energy is currently above DXY by 86.6 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ADAUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ADAUSD on the ADAUSD overview →

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