Analysis

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Price and energy
ADAUSD from 0.2214 to 0.2129, down 3.84%
Market Energy Bull Bias 56.6% to Neutral 6.1%, down 50.5 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price1.31%1.74%0.59%3.84%
Energy4.515.211.150.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
1.31% 1.74% 0.59% 3.84% 4.5 15.2 11.1 50.5
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 3.84% — higher than 94% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 50.5 pts — higher than 98% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral ADAUSD 4H

Sample: 18,403 4H candles from 2018-04-17 to 2026-09-10
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,815 times

When ADAUSD is in Neutral:

  • then ADAUSD moved to higher Market State: 877 times48.3%
  • then ADAUSD moved to lower Market State: 938 times51.7%

Current ADAUSD market energy: 6.07%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 14.81%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 26.95%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

ADAUSD · H4 · 2026-09-04 12:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
56.6%
Bull Bias
6.1%
Neutral
-3.4%
Neutral
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

Right as the 4H candle closes, ADAUSD classified as Neutral.

Market energy movement Market Energy dropped -50.5% from the previous session, from 56.6% to 6.1%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ADAUSD Market Energy ranged from -79.8 to +95.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did ADAUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 19:00 on 04-09-2026 closed, ADAUSD was at 0.2129, down 3.84% from the previous candle (0.2214). Market Energy was 6.1%, down 50.5 points from 56.6%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did ADAUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

ADAUSD closed at 0.2129, down 3.84% from the previous 4H candle (0.2214). This drop is larger than 94% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for ADAUSD, across 16,817 candles since 2019.

How did ADAUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 50.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from 56.6% to 6.1%. This drop is larger than 98% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for ADAUSD.

Do ADAUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was ADAUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had ADAUSD at 56.6%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, ADAUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Neutral.

Where does ADAUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 6.1%, ADAUSD is 14.81 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 26.95 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -83.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 63.9%. Against this backdrop, ADAUSD (Neutral, 6.1%) has higher energy than SPX500; lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 37.6%. ADAUSD energy is currently below DXY by 31.5 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ADAUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ADAUSD on the ADAUSD overview →

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