Analysis

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Price and energy
ADAUSD from 0.2226 to 0.2211, down 0.67%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 95.3% to Bull Extreme 87.3%, down 8.0 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.88%6.62%0.91%0.67%
Energy3.830.36.98.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.88% 6.62% 0.91% 0.67% 3.8 30.3 6.9 8.0
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.67% — higher than 40% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 8.0 pts — higher than 48% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme ADAUSD 4H

Sample: 18,406 4H candles from 2018-04-17 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 254 times

When ADAUSD is in Bull Extreme:

  • then ADAUSD moved to higher Market State: 0 times0%
  • then ADAUSD moved to lower Market State: 254 times100%

Current ADAUSD market energy: 87.34%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 12.66%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 12.84%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

ADAUSD · H4 · 2026-09-03 20:00 UTC
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Market Energy
95.3%
Bull Extreme
87.3%
Bull Extreme
82.9%
Bull Extreme
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

The Bull Extreme state determined for ADAUSD through the 4H candle data.

Market energy movement Energy delta -8%: Market Energy at 87.3%, previously 95.3%.

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 3 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ADAUSD Market Energy ranged from -79.8 to +95.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did ADAUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 03:00 on 04-09-2026 closed, ADAUSD was at 0.2211, down 0.67% from the previous candle (0.2226). Market Energy was 87.3%, down 8.0 points from 95.3%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did ADAUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

ADAUSD closed at 0.2211, down 0.67% from the previous 4H candle (0.2226). This drop is larger than 40% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for ADAUSD, across 16,813 candles since 2019.

How did ADAUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 8 percentage points from the previous candle — from 95.3% to 87.3%. This drop is larger than 48% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for ADAUSD.

Do ADAUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was ADAUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had ADAUSD at 95.3%, Bull Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does ADAUSD energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 87.3%, ADAUSD is 12.66 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 12.84 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 67.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 75.3%. Against this backdrop, ADAUSD (Bull Extreme, 87.3%) has higher energy than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -63.5%. ADAUSD (Bull Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ADAUSD.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ADAUSD on the ADAUSD overview →

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