Analysis

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Price and energy
ADAUSD from 0.1995 to 0.1964, down 1.55%
Market Energy Neutral -2.1% to Neutral -15.7%, down 13.6 pts
Down candle #4 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.20%0.45%0.10%1.55%
Energy4.91.47.013.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.20% 0.45% 0.10% 1.55% 4.9 1.4 7.0 13.6
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.55% — higher than 71% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 13.6 pts — higher than 68% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral ADAUSD 4H

Sample: 18,397 4H candles from 2018-04-17 to 2026-09-09
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,815 times

When ADAUSD is in Neutral:

  • then ADAUSD moved to higher Market State: 877 times48.3%
  • then ADAUSD moved to lower Market State: 938 times51.7%

Current ADAUSD market energy: -15.73%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 36.61%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 5.15%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

ADAUSD · H4 · 2026-09-01 16:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-2.1%
Neutral
-15.7%
Neutral
-13.5%
Neutral
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

Once measurement on the 4H timeframe completes, Result for ADAUSD: the balanced energy state.

Observing the ADAUSD market this session, Market Energy reading dropped -13.6%, moving from -2.1% to -15.7% after the 4H candle.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 5 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ADAUSD Market Energy ranged from -79.8 to +11.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did ADAUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 23:00 on 01-09-2026 closed, ADAUSD was at 0.1964, down 1.55% from the previous candle (0.1995). Market Energy was -15.7%, down 13.6 points from -2.1%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did ADAUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

ADAUSD closed at 0.1964, down 1.55% from the previous 4H candle (0.1995). This drop is larger than 71% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for ADAUSD, across 16,800 candles since 2019.

How did ADAUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 13.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from -2.1% to -15.7%. This drop is larger than 68% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for ADAUSD.

Do ADAUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was ADAUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had ADAUSD at -2.1%, Neutral — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does ADAUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At -15.7%, ADAUSD is 36.61 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 5.15 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -15.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -76.5%. Against this backdrop, ADAUSD (Neutral, -15.7%) has higher energy than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 78.8%. ADAUSD energy is currently below DXY by 94.5 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ADAUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ADAUSD on the ADAUSD overview →

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