Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
ADAUSD from 0.2451 to 0.2448, down 0.12%
Market Energy Neutral 20.7% to Neutral 4.1%, down 16.6 pts
Down candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.45%▲ 0.53%▼ 0.16%▼ 0.12%
Energy▲ 18.1▲ 90.0▼ 3.1▼ 16.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.45%▲ 0.53%▼ 0.16%▼ 0.12%▲ 18.1▲ 90.0▼ 3.1▼ 16.6
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.12% — higher than 14% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 16.6 pts — higher than 73% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral ADAUSD 1H

Sample: 74,088 1H candles from 2018-04-17 to 2026-10-02
Number of Neutral occurrences: 7,805 times

▸When ADAUSD is in Neutral:

  • then ADAUSD moved to higher Market State: 3,794 times — 48.6%
  • then ADAUSD moved to lower Market State: 4,011 times — 51.4%

▸Current ADAUSD market energy: 4.11%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 16.77%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 24.99%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

ADAUSD · H1 · 2026-10-03 12:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
20.7%
Neutral
4.1%
Neutral
Expected at
21:10
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

As the 1H candle closes, Market ADAUSD in the Neutral energy zone.

Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, Market trend energy recorded a -16.6% drop from the previous candle, from 20.7% to 4.1%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 2 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ADAUSD Market Energy ranged from -97.5 to +97.4.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did ADAUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 19:00 on 03-10-2026 closed, ADAUSD was at 0.2448, down 0.12% from the previous candle (0.2451). Market Energy was 4.1%, down 16.6 points from 20.7%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did ADAUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

ADAUSD closed at 0.2448, down 0.12% from the previous 1H candle (0.2451). This drop is larger than 14% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for ADAUSD, across 67,921 candles since 2019.

How did ADAUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 16.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from 20.7% to 4.1%. This drop is larger than 73% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for ADAUSD.

Do ADAUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was ADAUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had ADAUSD at 20.7%, Neutral — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does ADAUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 4.1%, ADAUSD is 16.77 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 24.99 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 34.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 61.7%. Against this backdrop, ADAUSD (Neutral, 4.1%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -42.6%. ADAUSD energy is currently above DXY by 46.7 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ADAUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ADAUSD on the ADAUSD overview →

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