Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
ADAUSD from 0.2487 to 0.2482, down 0.20%
Market Energy Bull Bias 29.0% to Neutral 20.3%, down 8.6 pts
Down candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.61%▲ 2.24%▼ 0.72%▼ 0.20%
Energy▼ 1.7▲ 59.0▼ 1.5▼ 8.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.61%▲ 2.24%▼ 0.72%▼ 0.20%▼ 1.7▲ 59.0▼ 1.5▼ 8.6
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.20% — higher than 24% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 8.6 pts — higher than 48% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral ADAUSD 1H

Sample: 74,040 1H candles from 2018-04-17 to 2026-09-30
Number of Neutral occurrences: 7,802 times

▸When ADAUSD is in Neutral:

  • then ADAUSD moved to higher Market State: 3,792 times — 48.6%
  • then ADAUSD moved to lower Market State: 4,010 times — 51.4%

▸Current ADAUSD market energy: 20.34%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 0.54%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 41.22%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

ADAUSD · H1 · 2026-10-01 19:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live ADAUSD chart →
Market Energy
29.0%
Bull Bias
20.3%
Neutral
Expected at
04:10
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

With the 1H candle just closed, ADAUSD noted at the Neutral zone.

Market trend update: A -8.6% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now 20.3% (previous: 29%).

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ADAUSD Market Energy ranged from -94.2 to +97.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did ADAUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 02:00 on 02-10-2026 closed, ADAUSD was at 0.2482, down 0.2% from the previous candle (0.2487). Market Energy was 20.3%, down 8.6 points from 29%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did ADAUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

ADAUSD closed at 0.2482, down 0.2% from the previous 1H candle (0.2487). This drop is larger than 24% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for ADAUSD, across 67,880 candles since 2019.

How did ADAUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 8.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from 29% to 20.3%. This drop is larger than 48% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for ADAUSD.

Do ADAUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was ADAUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had ADAUSD at 29%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, ADAUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Neutral.

Where does ADAUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 20.3%, ADAUSD is 0.54 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 41.22 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 2.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -51.4%. Against this backdrop, ADAUSD (Neutral, 20.3%) has higher energy than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 72.2%. ADAUSD energy is currently below DXY by 51.9 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ADAUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ADAUSD on the ADAUSD overview →

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