Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
ADAUSD from 0.2527 to 0.2552, up 0.99%
Market Energy Bull Critical 65.8% to Bull Critical 63.1%, down 2.7 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 1.08%▲ 0.44%▼ 0.16%▲ 0.99%
Energy▲ 63.3▲ 2.2▼ 8.7▼ 2.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 1.08%▲ 0.44%▼ 0.16%▲ 0.99%▲ 63.3▲ 2.2▼ 8.7▼ 2.7
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.99% — higher than 78% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 2.7 pts — higher than 17% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical ADAUSD 1H

Sample: 73,902 1H candles from 2018-04-17 to 2026-09-25
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 1,978 times

▸When ADAUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then ADAUSD moved to higher Market State: 495 times — 25%
  • then ADAUSD moved to lower Market State: 1,483 times — 75%

▸Current ADAUSD market energy: 63.13%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 11.37%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 3.13%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

ADAUSD · H1 · 2026-09-25 11:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
65.8%
Bull Critical
63.1%
Bull Critical
Expected at
20:10
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

With the 1H candle just closed, ADAUSD in the near-extreme Bull energy level.

Observing the ADAUSD market this session, Market Energy reading dropped -2.7%, moving from 65.8% to 63.1% after the 1H candle.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ADAUSD Market Energy ranged from -92.9 to +99.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did ADAUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 18:00 on 25-09-2026 closed, ADAUSD was at 0.2552, up 0.99% from the previous candle (0.2527). Market Energy was 63.1%, down 2.7 points from 65.8%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did ADAUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

ADAUSD closed at 0.2552, up 0.99% from the previous 1H candle (0.2527). This rise is larger than 78% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for ADAUSD, across 67,728 candles since 2019.

How did ADAUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 2.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from 65.8% to 63.1%. This drop is larger than 17% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for ADAUSD.

Do ADAUSD price and energy agree?

No. Price moved up while energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was ADAUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had ADAUSD at 65.8%, Bull Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does ADAUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 63.1%, ADAUSD is 11.37 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 3.13 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 67.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 14.2%. Against this backdrop, ADAUSD (Bull Critical, 63.1%) has higher energy than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -78%. ADAUSD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ADAUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ADAUSD on the ADAUSD overview →

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