Analysis

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Price and energy
ADAUSD from 0.1968 to 0.1943, down 1.27%
Market Energy Bear Bias -48.8% to Bear Critical -62.7%, down 13.9 pts
Down candle #4 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price2.31%0.20%0.71%1.27%
Energy1.53.50.413.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
2.31% 0.20% 0.71% 1.27% 1.5 3.5 0.4 13.9
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.27% — higher than 86% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 13.9 pts — higher than 66% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical ADAUSD 1H

Sample: 73,663 1H candles from 2018-04-17 to 2026-09-15
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 1,833 times

When ADAUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then ADAUSD moved to higher Market State: 1,449 times79.1%
  • then ADAUSD moved to lower Market State: 384 times20.9%

Current ADAUSD market energy: -62.67%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 2.67%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 11.83%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

ADAUSD · H1 · 2026-09-15 21:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-48.8%
Bear Bias
-62.7%
Bear Critical
Expected at
06:10
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Observing the completed 1H candle, ADAUSD currently in the near-extreme Bear energy state.

On the 2AiTrading energy system, Market Energy reading dropped -13.9%, moving from -48.8% to -62.7% after the 1H candle.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ADAUSD Market Energy ranged from -100 to +96.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did ADAUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 04:00 on 16-09-2026 closed, ADAUSD was at 0.1943, down 1.27% from the previous candle (0.1968). Market Energy was -62.7%, down 13.9 points from -48.8%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did ADAUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

ADAUSD closed at 0.1943, down 1.27% from the previous 1H candle (0.1968). This drop is larger than 86% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for ADAUSD, across 67,498 candles since 2019.

How did ADAUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 13.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from -48.8% to -62.7%. This drop is larger than 66% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for ADAUSD.

Do ADAUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was ADAUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had ADAUSD at -48.8%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, ADAUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does ADAUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -62.7%, ADAUSD is 2.67 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 11.83 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -32.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 37.1%. Against this backdrop, ADAUSD (Bear Critical, -62.7%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 9%. ADAUSD energy is currently below DXY by 71.6 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ADAUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ADAUSD on the ADAUSD overview →

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